{"id":74647,"date":"2023-12-18T09:40:59","date_gmt":"2023-12-18T07:40:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=74647"},"modified":"2025-12-09T15:42:48","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T13:42:48","slug":"bojs-interest-rate-decision-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ar\/bojs-interest-rate-decision-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to rise against its counterparts on Friday and market attention turns towards BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision due out during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold at -0.10% and JPY OIS imply a probability of 98.81% for such a scenario to materialise, rendering the interest rate part of the decision as an open and shut case. Yet JPY OIS also imply that the market expects the bank to start normalising its ultra-loose monetary policy and proceed with its first rate hike in decades in March. The market\u2019s expectations tended to intensify over the past weeks as BoJ officials allowed for some hawkish hints to escape in their speeches. Should the accompanying statement be characterised by a more hawkish tone that would allow the market\u2019s expectations to solidify, we may see JPY gaining some ground.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"BOJ Interest rate decision due out tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/fxc6o7MlLrg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY maintained a relatively tight rangebound motion on Friday and remained well within the corridor set by the 143.00 (R1) resistance line and the 141.50 (S1) support level. We tend to maintain a bias for the sideways motion to continue on a technical level and also note that some slight bearish tendencies seem to exist in the market sentiment given that the RSI indicator is between the reading of 50 and 30, yet BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision may sway USD\/JPY\u2019s direction either way. Should the bulls get control over the pair, we may see it breaking the 143.00 (R1) resistance line and aiming for the 144.45 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 141.50 (S1) support line and aim for the 139.75 (S2) support base.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of Germany\u2019s December Ifo indicators and later on New Zealand\u2019s trade data for November. On the monetary front, we note the release from Australia the release of RBA\u2019s December meeting minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD dropped on Friday breaking the 1.0960 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. The pair seems to have stabilised for the time being between the 1.0960 (R1) resistance line and the 1.0830 (S1) support line. Also, the RSI indicator seems to be running just above the reading of 50, implying some slight bullishness in the market sentiment, yet nothing conclusive, allowing us to maintain temporarily a bias for the sideways motion to continue, yet the direction may alter. Should EUR\/USD find extensive buying orders along its path, we may see the pair breaking the 1.0960 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1065 (R2) resistance level. Should a selling interest be expressed by the market, we may see the pair breaking the 1.0835 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0735 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we note the release of UK\u2019s CBI trends for industrial orders for December and Canada\u2019s CPI rates for November. On Wednesday, we get Japan\u2019s trade data for November, Germany\u2019s GfK consumer sentiment for January, UK\u2019s CPI rates for November, Eurozone\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence and the US consumer confidence, both being for December and on the monetary front, we note the release of BoC\u2019s deliberations for the December meeting. On Thursday, we get the UK\u2019s CBI distributive trades for December and we highlight the final US GDP rate for Q3, the weekly initial jobless claims, the Philly Fed business index for December, and Canada\u2019s retail sales for October and on the monetary front we note the release of Turkey\u2019s CBT and the Czech Republic\u2019s CNB interest rate decisions. Finally on Friday, we note the release of Japan\u2019s November CPI rates, UK\u2019s GDP rate for Q3 and retail sales for November as well as the US consumption rate, the Core PCE price index and the durable goods orders all for November, Canada\u2019s GDP rates for December and the final US University of Michigan consumer sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-82.png\" alt=\"Technical chart of EUR\/USD with indicators related to BoJ interest rate and USD\/JPY for financial insights.\" class=\"wp-image-74648\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 141.50 (S1), 139.75 (S2), 138.00 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 143.00 (R1), 144.45 (R2), 146.30 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-83.png\" alt=\"Technical chart displaying EUR\/USD exchange rate with annotations for BoJ interest rate changes.\" class=\"wp-image-74649\" title=\"eur-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0835 (S1), 1.0735 (S2), 1.0660 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0960 (R1), 1.1065 (R2), 1.1150 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"495\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-84.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74650\" title=\"benchmark-18-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1097\" height=\"625\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-86.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74652\" title=\"table-18-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"975\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-85.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74651\" title=\"morning-releases-18-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629:<br>\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0635\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0627\u064b \u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0644 IronFX \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to rise against its counterparts on Friday and market attention turns towards BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision due<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BoJ Interest Rate Decision Ahead as Markets Eye March Hike<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"BoJ interest rate decision approaches with markets expecting policy normalization; 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