{"id":75156,"date":"2024-01-05T10:56:20","date_gmt":"2024-01-05T08:56:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=75156"},"modified":"2025-12-10T08:58:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T06:58:35","slug":"decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ar\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\/","title":{"rendered":"December\u2019s US employment report under the spotlight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today, we expect market attention to turn towards the release of the US employment report for December. The non-farm payroll figure is expected to drop to 170k from November\u2019s 199k, the unemployment rate to tick up to 3.8% and the average earnings growth rate to slow down to 3.9% yoy from November\u2019s 4.0% yoy. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, we may see the USD weakening, as all three indicators align in pointing towards an easing of the US employment market\u2019s tightening. Such an easing may enhance the market\u2019s expectations for the Fed to start aggressively cutting rates as early as March and even solidify market expectations for a total of six rate cuts in 2024. Overall, the release is expected to have a wider effect beyond major pairs in the FX market and US stockmarkets may get some support should the tightness of the US employment market ease, while a possible weakening of the USD could support gold\u2019s price.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US Employment data is due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YzTzQjPBqEI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, we note that the USD tended to gain against the EUR, as EUR\/USD hit a ceiling at the 1.0960 (R1) resistance line. We have to note that the RSI indicator also tended to drop aiming for the reading of 30 and implying a built up of a bearish market sentiment as the price action moved lower. Yet for a bearish outlook we would require EUR\/USD, to aim if not breach the 1.0835 (S1) support line and definitely reach a lower low. On the flip side should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 1.0960 (R1) resistance line and aiming for the 1.1065 (R2) resistance nest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>North of the US border and at the same time of the release of the US employment data, we also get Canada\u2019s employment data for December and CAD traders are expected to keep a close eye on the release. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up and reach 5.9%, while the employment change figure is expected to drop to 13.5k if compared to November\u2019s 24.9k. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, we may see the CAD weakening as they would imply that the slack in the Canadian employment market continues to widen. Such rates and figures may enhance the market\u2019s expectations for BoC to cut rates five times in the current year or even enhance market expectations for the bank to proceed with its first rate cut earlier than April which is currently expected. On the flip side should data diverge from current expectations showing a tightening Canadian employment market, we may see the Loonie getting some asymmetric support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD seemed to stabilise between the 1.3400 (R1) resistance line and the 1.3320 (S1) support level. Yet the upward trendline guiding the pair seems to remain intact and the RSI indicator is just lower than the reading of 70, implying a rather bullish sentiment in the market for the pair currently, thus we tend to maintain our bullish outlook for now. Should the bulls actually maintain control over the pair, we may see it breaking the 1.3400 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.3485 (R2) resistance nest. Should the bears say enough is enough and take over, we may see USD\/CAD breaching the prementioned upward trendline in a first signal that the upward motion has been interrupted, break also the 1.3320 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.3255 (S2) support base.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session, we note the release of UK\u2019s Halifax House prices and All sector PMI figure, both being for December and highlight the release of Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for the same month. In the American session we also note the release from the US of the Factory orders growth rate for November and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI figure for December, while on the monetary front, Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-16.png\" alt=\"Technical chart displaying the EUR\/USD exchange rate in relation to US employment data.\" class=\"wp-image-75157\" title=\"eur-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0835 (S1), 1.0735 (S2), 1.0660 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0960 (R1), 1.1065 (R2), 1.1150 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-17.png\" alt=\"Technical chart displaying EUR\/USD exchange rates alongside US employment data and USD\/CAD trends.\" class=\"wp-image-75158\" title=\"usd-cad-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3320 (S1), 1.3255 (S2), 1.3160 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3400 (R1), 1.3485 (R2), 1.3610 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2001\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-18.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-75159\" style=\"width:608px;height:149px\" title=\"benchmark-05-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1055\" height=\"627\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-21.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-75162\" title=\"table-05-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1720\" height=\"927\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-19.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-75160\" title=\"morning-releases-05-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1240\" height=\"660\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-20.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-75161\" title=\"morning-releases-05-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629:<br>\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0635\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0627\u064b \u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0644 IronFX \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today, we expect market attention to turn towards the release of the US employment report for December. The non-farm payroll<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Employment Report: December Data Under Spotlight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"December US employment report in focus as markets watch NFP, unemployment and wages for clues on Fed rate cuts and USD direction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75156\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"December\u2019s US employment report under the spotlight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"December US employment report in focus as markets watch NFP, unemployment and wages for clues on Fed rate cuts and USD direction.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ar\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-05T08:56:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T06:58:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"December\u2019s US employment report under the spotlight\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-05T08:56:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T06:58:35+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":761,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ar\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"name\":\"US Employment Report: December Data Under Spotlight\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-05T08:56:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T06:58:35+00:00\",\"description\":\"December US employment report in focus as markets watch NFP, unemployment and wages for clues on Fed rate cuts and USD direction.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ar\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/decembers-us-employment-report-under-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"December\u2019s US employment report under the spotlight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ar\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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