{"id":117728,"date":"2025-07-30T16:33:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T13:33:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=117728"},"modified":"2025-07-30T16:34:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T13:34:09","slug":"equities-report-fed-decision-day-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/en\/equities-report-fed-decision-day-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: FED decision day"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

US stock markets moved higher with the Nasdaq,S&P 500 and Dow Jones moving higher since last week .In today\u2019s report we are to discuss the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision, upcoming US financial releases and Meta\u2019s and Microsoft\u2019s earnings reports and conclude the report with a technical analysis of S&P 500\u2019s daily chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FED decision day<\/strong><\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Fed\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur later on today. The Fed is widely expected to remain on hold by market participants, with FFF currently implying a 96.9% probability for such a scenario to materialize. Therefore, attention will turn to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement and Fed Chair Powell\u2019s press conference. In turn, should it be implied in the bank\u2019s statement and Fed Chair Powell\u2019s presser that the bank may consider cutting interest rates in the near future, it could aid the US Equities markets and vice versa. However, given the ongoing rhetoric from the Trump administration and pressure on Fed Chair Powell to resign as well as to cut rates, traders may also be interested in seeing if any divisions have emerged within the Fed and whether there will be dissenters from the bank\u2019s decision. Furthermore, depending on the bank\u2019s decision, the US President may also decide to comment on the upcoming replacement of the Fed Chair and could thus lead to significant volatility in the markets. Overall, the decision in itself is significant yet our interest is in Fed Chair Powell\u2019s press conference and in particular the questions being asked by the attending journalists. Specifically, we would like to see journalists asking Powell in regards to his future and the fake resignation letter that had recently circulated on social media platforms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Financial releases<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

There are variety of financial releases stemming from the US, starting with the PCE rates for June which are due out on Thursday and are expected to showcase an acceleration of inflationary pressures in the US economy on a headline level from 2.3% to 2.5% whereas the Core PCE rate is expected to remain steady at 2.7%. Moreover, the US Employment data for July which is due out on Friday, is expected to showcase a loosening labour market when looking at the expected NFP figure and the anticipated uptick in the unemployment rate. In our view, the possible acceleration of inflationary pressures in the US economy could increase pressure on the Fed to maintain its restrictive monetary policy approach, which could then weigh on the US Equities markets. Whilst simultaneously, a loosening labour market could increase pressure on the Fed to adopt a more dovish tone which may have the opposite effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meta and Microsoft earnings due out today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meta and Facebook are set to release their earnings later on today. Starting with Meta, analysts are expecting their EPS figure to come in at at 5.85 and their revenue at $44.84 billion and Microsoft is expected to report earnings at 3.37 their revenue at $3.79 billion. Should they beat their earnings and revenue estimations, it could possibly aid their stock price respectively, whereas should they fail to meet the analyst\u2019s expectations it may have the opposite effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earnings reports ahead<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

We make a start with the earnings paragraph today by noting UBS\u2019s (#UBS) and Pfizer\u2019s (#PFE) earnings on Tuesday, following AirBnB (#ABNB), Uber (#UBER) and Disney (#DIS) on Wednesday and Alibaba (#BABA) on Thursday<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Technical Analysis<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US500 Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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