{"id":128809,"date":"2026-02-19T12:44:06","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T10:44:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=128809"},"modified":"2026-02-20T13:17:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T11:17:03","slug":"oil-prices-rally-on-us-iran-conflict-worries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/oil-prices-rally-on-us-iran-conflict-worries\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil prices rally on US-Iran conflict worries"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed January minutes show a divide among policymakers<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Fed\u2019s January meeting minutes <\/a>were released yesterday<\/a> and the different approaches towards the Fed\u2019s monetary policy<\/strong> by various policymakers<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some seemed to insist on the necessity of further easing<\/strong>, while others seemed open to a possible tightening. It\u2019s characteristic that the possibility of a rate hike<\/strong> was mentioned maybe for the first time in two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall despite the mixed signals<\/strong> a hawkish <\/strong>tilt seemed to prevail supporting the USD<\/strong>. We set as the next possible test for the markets <\/a>the release of the US PCE rates<\/strong> for December and preliminary GDP rates<\/strong> for Q4 25, tomorrow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices rally on US-Iranian conflict worries<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices<\/strong> rallied yesterday as the failure of the US-Iranian negotiations to show a more concrete progress rekindled market worries for a possible US-Iran conflict<\/strong> which in turn could weigh o the supply side of the commodity\u2019s market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The negotiations <\/strong>were for Tehran’s nuclear program and despite the two sides agreeing to reconvene in a couple of weeks, the escalation of military activity<\/strong> by both in the region, tended to create worries. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The issue is currently tantalizing the international oil market<\/strong>, and a possible intensification of the market\u2019s worries could boost oil prices further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US equities rise despite rate hike worries<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US equities<\/strong> ended their day in the greens despite the release of the Fed\u2019s meeting minutes opening the door for the possibility of a monetary policy tightening. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI investment worries<\/strong> tended to ease in the markets yesterday, which may have allowed for the prementioned gains in US stock markets<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Possible further easing of market worries<\/strong> could allow US equities to advance further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Autres points forts pour aujourd'hui<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get UK\u2019s CBI industrial orders for February and from the US the weekly initial jobless claims figure, February\u2019s Philly Fed Business index and the weekly EIA crude oil inventories figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On a monetary level, we note that ECB\u2019s De Guindos and the Fed\u2019s Bostic, Bowman and Kashkari are speaking. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of Australia\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for February, Japan\u2019s January CPI rates and from China PBoC\u2019s interest rate decision, while in New Zealand, RBNZ\u2019s Governor Anna Brennan and in the US ECB President Christine Lagarde are scheduled to speak.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY<\/u> <\/strong>was on the rise yesterday breaking the 154.30 (S1) resistance line<\/strong>, now turned to support. We note that the RSI indicator<\/strong> has risen and has reached the reading of 50, implying an erasing of the bearish sentiment for the market for the pair and we highlight the pair\u2019s bullish tendencies of the pair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bulls <\/strong>remain in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we may see USD\/JPY<\/a> aiming if not breaching the 157.80 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears <\/strong>take over, \u00a0we may see the pair breaking the 154.30 (S1) support line and continue to also break the 151.50 (S2) support level<\/strong>, while even lower we note the 149.15 (S3) barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WTI<\/u><\/strong>\u2019s price rallied yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, covering the distance between the 61.80 (S1) support line and the 66.20 (R1) resistance level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We also note that the RSI indicator has risen implying an enhancement of the market\u2019s bullish sentiment for the commodity\u2019s price, yet WTI\u2019s price action is still within the boundaries setting its sideways motion for the past three weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time we note that the commodity\u2019s price action is nearing the upper Bollinger band<\/strong> which may slow down the bulls. For a bullish outlook <\/strong>we require WTI\u2019s price to clearly break the 66.20 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 70.00 (R2) resistance level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bearish outlook<\/strong> to emerge, WTI\u2019s price action has to drop break the 61.80 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 59.80 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 154.30 (S1), 151.50 (S2), 149.15 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 157.80 (R1), 161.90 (R2), 165.00 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 61.80 (S1), 59.80 (S2), 56.00 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 66.20 (R1), 70.00 (R2), 73.35 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \"Bar<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"Weekly<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Avertissement :
      Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128809","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOil prices rally on US-Iran worries<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Oil prices rally on US-Iran conflict worries as Fed January minutes reveal policy divide, lifting USD and shaping equity moves.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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