{"id":137131,"date":"2026-10-16T16:14:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T13:14:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=137131"},"modified":"2026-10-16T16:26:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T13:26:40","slug":"fed-rate-hold-expectations-intensify","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/fed-rate-hold-expectations-intensify\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed rate hold expectations intensify"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 id=\"h-fed-rate-hold-expectations-intensify-with-fed-warsh-s-comments\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fed rate hold expectations intensify with Fed Warsh\u2019s comments<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fed Chair Warsh<\/strong> spoke before an IMF summit, in which he stated that he would not \u201cprejudge\u201d plans for the next monetary policy decision, but that the economic conditions were \u201cbroadly\u201d in line with the bank\u2019s expectations. In turn this could imply that despite the recent economic readings which could have increased expectations of a Fed rate hike, the Fed Chair seemingly assured markets that this may not be something the bank has not planned for. In turn, the comments made by the Fed Chair could weigh on the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-us-equites-claw-back-some-losses-on-a-weaker-dollar\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Equites claw back some losses on a weaker dollar<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the dollar weakens following the <strong>Fed Chair\u2019s comments<\/strong> which we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.co\/en\/intense-market-worries-lead-to-tech-sell-off\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.co\/en\/intense-market-worries-lead-to-tech-sell-off\/\">mentioned previously<\/a>, the US Equities may have clawed back some of their losses this week on the back on a weaker dollar. The US Equities markets continue to be plagued by the <strong>AI infrastructure<\/strong> debt concerns that <strong>surfaced<\/strong> in the market this week. Despite the gains being made today, the structural issue remains with the debt incurred from AI infrastructure just taking the second place on the news calendar for the day. Yet, the issue stemmed from concern as to how payments and companies would fair during a high interest rate environment; therefore, as market expectations of a restrictive Fed ease, we may see those worries subsiding which could aid equities markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-oil-prices-in-focus-as-cnn-reports-that-the-us-is-considering-the-use-of-moab-against-iran\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Oil prices in focus as CNN reports that the US is considering the use of \u201cMOAB\u201d against Iran<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Oil (Le p\u00e9trole)<\/strong> prices edged lower in today\u2019s Asian session following a weakening of the dollar during Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s comments at the <strong>IMF summit in Bangkok<\/strong>. However, our focus is the recent report by <strong>CNN<\/strong> which states that according to their sources, the US Military has drawn up\u00a0 new strike plans for the use of the \u201c<strong>Mother of All Bombs<\/strong>\u201d which is the largest non-nuclear bomb in the US arsenal. In turn, the use of such an explosive ordnance could severely escalate the situation in the region, which could be followed by a significant military escalation. In turn, in the event that it appears that the US may use such a bomb could provide support for oil prices as the oil supply chain in the region may be heavily disrupted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-other-highlights-for-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Autres points forts pour aujourd'hui<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today we get EU\u2019s final HICP rate for September and the US industrial production rate on a month on month basis for&nbsp; September. Another highlight is Tesla\u2019s new car which was unveiled today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Quotidienne<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"500\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-1024x500.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD Quotidienne\" class=\"wp-image-137136\" srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-1024x500.png 1024w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-300x147.png 300w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-768x375.png 768w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-18x9.png 18w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-1536x750.png 1536w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-1568x766.png 1568w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026-559x273.png 559w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/EURUSDDaily-10162026.png 1916w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Support: 1.1195 (S1), 1.0960 (S2), 1.0735 (S3)<br>Resistance: 1.1470 (R1), 1.1680 (R2), 1.1885 (R3)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> appears to be&nbsp; moving higher following the weakening of the dollar during today\u2019s Asian session. We opt for a <strong>sideways bias<\/strong> for the pair and supporting our case is the break above our 1.1195 (S1) support level. For our sideways bias to be maintained, we would require the pair to remain confined between our 1.1195 (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> <strong>level<\/strong> and our 1.1470 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> <strong>line<\/strong>. On the other hand, for a bearish outlook, we would require a clear break below our 1.1195 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 1.0960 (S2) support line. Lastly, for a bullish outlook, we would require a clear break above 1.1470 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being our 1.1680 (R2) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-wti-cash-daily-chart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WTI Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"500\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-1024x500.png\" alt=\"WTI Cash Daily Chart\" class=\"wp-image-137135\" srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-1024x500.png 1024w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-300x147.png 300w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-768x375.png 768w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-18x9.png 18w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-1536x750.png 1536w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-1568x766.png 1568w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026-559x273.png 559w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WTICashDaily-10162026.png 1916w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Support: 92.35 (S1), 86.45 (S2), 79.45 (S3)<br>Resistance: 97.95 (R1), 102.05 (R2), 107.50 (R3)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>WTI<\/strong> appears to be in the red today, yet overall we would still maintain a predominantly bullish outlook for the commodity. Our <strong>bullish outlook<\/strong> is supported by the <strong>RSI indicator<\/strong> below our chart which currently registers a figure close to 60 implying a bullish market sentiment, in addition to the upwards moving <strong>trendline<\/strong>. For our bullish outlook to be maintained we would require a break above our 97.95 (R1) resistance level with the next possible target for the bulls being our 102.05 (R2) resistance level. On the other hand, for a <strong>sideways bias<\/strong> we would require the commodity\u2019s price to remain confined between 92.35 (S1) level and our 97.95 (R1) line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook we would require a break below our 93.25 (S1) support level with the next possible target for the bears being our 86.45 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1009\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-1024x1009.jpg\" alt=\"Friday European and American, Monday Asian and European Economic Calendar\" class=\"wp-image-137137\" srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-1024x1009.jpg 1024w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-300x295.jpg 300w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-12x12.jpg 12w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-767x756.jpg 767w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-1568x1545.jpg 1568w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-1536x1514.jpg 1536w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026-559x551.jpg 559w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Economic_Calendar_10162026.jpg 1578w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CLAUSE DE NON-RESPONSABILIT\u00c9\u00a0: Ce contenu est fourni \u00e0 des fins d'information g\u00e9n\u00e9rale et \u00e9ducatives uniquement et ne doit pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme un conseil d'investissement ou une recommandation d'investissement.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed rate hold expectations intensify with Fed Warsh\u2019s comments Fed Chair Warsh spoke before an IMF summit, in which he<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":137138,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-137131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - 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