{"id":76382,"date":"2024-01-31T11:13:30","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T09:13:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=76382"},"modified":"2025-12-10T14:40:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T12:40:10","slug":"feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the limelight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The scenery for the FX market this week seems to be dominated by the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold today, with Fed Funds Futures currently implying a 98% probability for such a scenario to materialize and we have no reason to doubt, yet there is a large question mark looming over the tone of the accompanying statement and Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s press conference later on. On the one hand, the easing of inflationary pressures in the US economy as shown also by the latest release of the Core PCE price index for December and the hit on economic activity of the US manufacturing sector tend to suggest that an easing of the Fed\u2019s tight monetary policy is possible. On the other hand, the relative tightness of the US employment market could allow the Fed to maintain rates higher for a longer period than what the market currently expects. Overall, should the bank maintain a more dovish tone indirectly reaffirming the market expectations for extensive rate cuts starting from May onwards, we may see the USD weakening as the looser monetary policy may take some of the appeal of the greenback and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Key points  31012024\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UwqG8L2TvU4?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD\u2019s bearish tendencies seemed to intensify slightly yesterday, yet remain unconvincing for now and the pair is currently aiming for the 1.0740 (S1) support line. For the time being, we tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue, yet at the same time also note that the RSI indicator is nearing the reading of 30 implying that the bearish sentiment in the market is building up for the pair. Should the bulls take over, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0740 (S1) support line and aiming for the 1.0615 (S2) support level. On the other hand, should the bulls say enough is enough hand take over, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1010 (R2) resistance nest.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The release of the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision is expected to have wider effects beyond the FX market, with ripple effects extending to the equities markets as well. We expect that a possible continuance of the Fed\u2019s more dovish approach to support US stock markets, as financial conditions in the US economy are to ease in such a scenario. Yet US stock markets are also expected to be affected by the earnings releases and today we note Boeing, Mastercard and GlaxoSmithKline.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P 500 edged slightly lower yesterday, yet the direction of the index\u2019s price action seems to continue to point towards the 4950 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain our bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding its remains intact. Furthermore, we note that the RSI indicator continues to run along the reading of 70 implying a strong bullish sentiment on behalf of the market, yet the RSI indicator may also imply that the index is still at overbought levels risking a possible correction lower. Should the index find additional buying orders along its path, we may see the index, breaking the 4950 (R1) resistance line and thus open the gates for the 5100 (R2) level. Should an intense selling interest be expressed by the market we may see the index, breaking for the prementioned upward trendline and aim for the 4800 (S1) support line. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Autres faits marquants de la journ\u00e9e :<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the European session today, we highlight the release of France\u2019s and Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for January and also note the UK\u2019s Nationwide house prices for the same month. As the American session is about to start, we note the release of the US ADP national employment figure for January and Canada\u2019s GDP rate for November, while later on, oil traders may be more interested in the release of the US EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s final January PMI figures for the manufacturing sector, while from Australia, we also get December\u2019s building approvals growth rate and also note the release of China\u2019s Caixin manufacturing PMI figure for January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>Graphique de l\u2019EUR\/USD H4<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"442\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-133.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD technical chart illustrating market movements influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.\" class=\"wp-image-76383\" title=\"support \u00e0 un point z\u00e9ro un sept cinq et r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 un point z\u00e9ro deux six, direction vers le bas\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0740 (S1), 1.0615 (S2), 1.0455 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0890 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1135 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-500-cash-daily-chart\"><strong>USD 500 Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"442\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-134.png\" alt=\"Technical chart of EU\/USD showing fluctuations influenced by Fed interest rate decision and USD 500 cash.\" class=\"wp-image-76384\" title=\"us-five-hundred-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 4800 (S1), 4660 (S2), 4540 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 4950 (R1), 5100 (R2), 5250 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1989\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-135.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76385\" title=\"benchmark-31-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1028\" height=\"585\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-138.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76388\" title=\"table-31-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1050\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-136.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76386\" title=\"morning-releases-31-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"672\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-137.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76387\" title=\"morning-releases-31-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Si vous avez des questions d'ordre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ou des commentaires concernant cet article, veuillez envoyer un email directement \u00e0 notre \u00e9quipe de recherche \u00e0 l'adresse <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avertissement :<br><i>Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The scenery for the FX market this week seems to be dominated by the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Feds interest rate decision drives key market moves this week<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Feds interest rate decision guides USD, EUR\/USD and S&amp;P 500 as markets weigh rate-cut timing, inflation signals and earnings.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76382\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the limelight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Feds interest rate decision guides USD, EUR\/USD and S&amp;P 500 as markets weigh rate-cut timing, inflation signals and earnings.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-31T09:13:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T12:40:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the limelight\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-31T09:13:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T12:40:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":802,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Feds interest rate decision drives key market moves this week\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-31T09:13:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T12:40:10+00:00\",\"description\":\"Feds interest rate decision guides USD, EUR\\\/USD and S&P 500 as markets weigh rate-cut timing, inflation signals and earnings.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-in-the-limelight-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the limelight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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