{"id":81447,"date":"2024-04-26T11:09:05","date_gmt":"2024-04-26T08:09:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=81447"},"modified":"2025-12-17T14:36:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T12:36:19","slug":"marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower against its counterparts yesterday, probably being set under selling pressure by the slower-than-expected preliminary GDP rate for Q1. The release of the GDP rate for Q1 implied that the US economy grew at a slower pace than initially estimated probably also given the tight financial environment in the US as the Fed\u2019s rates remain high. We turn our focus now to the release of the US Core PCE price index for March in an effort to gauge the tendencies of inflation in the US economy. Please note that the rates are the Fed\u2019s favourite inflation metric and hence a possible failure of the rates to slow down may add more pressure on the Fed to maintain its rates high for longer, thus supporting the USD. On the flip side should the rates slow down more than expected, we may see the market selling the Dollar as the release may provide more leeway for Fed doves to start arguing for a rate cut with more confidence. The release is expected to have ripple effects beyond the FX market, probably also on US stock markets and gold\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US Core PCE rate to move the markets\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/E6gEfIpfW48?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD appears to be moving in an upwards fashion. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair, while we also note that the RSI indicator below our daily chart reached the reading of 50, implying that the bearish sentiment has been erased. For our bullish outlook to continue, we require a break above the 1.0740 (R1) resistance line, which is now being put to the test, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 1.0890 (R2) resistance level. Yet should the pair stabilise we may see EUR\/USD failing to break the 10740 (R1) resistance ceiling and correcting lower, but respecting the 1.0615 (S1) support line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook we would require the pair to clearly break below the 1.0615 (S1) support line, with the next possible target for the bears being the 1.0450 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also in the FX market, BoJ released its interest rate decision during today\u2019s Asian session and as was widely expected remained on hold, keeping rates at 0-0.1%. Also, the bank highlighted its conviction that inflation rates are to remain near the bank\u2019s targets, in a rather optimistic note. The bank also tended to signal that it\u2019s prepared to hike rates further near the end of the year. Yet at the same press conference BoJ Governor Ueda also stated that the bank is to maintain easy financial conditions for the time being. Overall, the lack of clear forward guidance, given that the accompanying statement was exceptionally short, even for BoJ\u2019s standards, tended to weaken the JPY further. We also note that Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates slowed beyond market expectations, in another sign of easing inflation and the possibility of a market intervention to JPY\u2019s rescue, is now clearly on the horizon. Yet with a continuance of the BoJ\u2019s loose monetary policy any positive effects of a market intervention by the Japanese government may be short-lived.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, USD\/JPY breached the 153.80 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair, given its upward movement since the 11<sup>\u00a0&nbsp;<\/sup> of March, which is being underscored by the upward trendline guiding it. We also note that the RSI indicator is far higher above the reading of 70, which on the one hand highlights the strong bullish sentiment of the market for the pair, yet at the same time warns that the pair is at overbought levels and ripe for a correction lower. Similar signals are also send by the fact that USD\/JPY\u2019s price action is nearing the upper Bollinger Band. Should the bulls maintain control as expected, we may see USD\/JPY aiming if not breaching for the 158.35 (R1) line, a level that has not seen any price action since 1990. On the flip side for the adoption of a bearish outlook, we would require the pair to reverse direction, break initially 153.80 (S1) support line, break the prementioned upward trendline in a first signal that the upward motion has been interrupted, and also break the 151.90 (S2) level, yet even then the pair\u2019s price action would be within the boundaries set by the upward channel incepted since the mid of December last year.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Autres faits marquants de la journ\u00e9e :<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get France\u2019s Consumer confidence for April, and later we are also getting the US Consumption rate for the same month and April\u2019s final UoM consumer sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD Quotidienne<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-131.png\" alt=\"support at one point zero six one five and resistance at one point zero seven four, direction upwards  \" class=\"wp-image-81451\" title=\"graphique-quotidienne-d\u2019eur-usd\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0615 (S1), 1.0450 (S2), 1.0295 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0740 (R1), 1.0890 (R2), 1.1010 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-132.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty three point eight and resistance at one hundred fifty eight point thirty five, direction upwards \" class=\"wp-image-81452\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 153.80 (S1), 151.90 (S2), 149.00 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 158.35 (R1), 160.35 (R2), 163.00 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"487\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-133.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-81453\" title=\"benchmark-26-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"961\" height=\"566\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-135.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-81455\" title=\"table-26-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1113\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-134.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-81454\" title=\"morning-releases-26-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Si vous avez des questions d'ordre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ou des commentaires concernant cet article, veuillez envoyer un email directement \u00e0 notre \u00e9quipe de recherche \u00e0 l'adresse <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avertissement :<br><i>Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower against its counterparts yesterday, probably being set under selling pressure by the slower-than-expected preliminary GDP rate<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"his report will delve into recent financial market issues, anticipate potential developments, offer a calendar of upcoming financial releases\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81447\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"his report will delve into recent financial market issues, anticipate potential developments, offer a calendar of upcoming financial releases\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/fr\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-04-26T08:09:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-17T12:36:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-04-26T08:09:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-17T12:36:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":873,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/\",\"name\":\"March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-04-26T08:09:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-17T12:36:19+00:00\",\"description\":\"his report will delve into recent financial market issues, anticipate potential developments, offer a calendar of upcoming financial releases\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/marchs-us-core-pce-prices-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"March\u2019s US Core PCE prices in focus\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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