{"id":127625,"date":"2026-01-28T13:15:02","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T11:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=127625"},"modified":"2026-02-02T13:45:44","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T11:45:44","slug":"feds-interest-rate-decision-to-dominate-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/id\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-dominate-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to dominate the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to dominate the markets<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The USD tumbled across the board yesterday as US President Trump stated yesterday that the value of the dollar was “great”, implying a preference to a weaker USD in the FX market, adding pressure on the greenback which hit a four-year low. Today the highlight is expected to be the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping rates at the 3.50%-3.75% range. Hence, we expect the market to shift its attention to the bank\u2019s forward guidance and should the bank signal that it intends to remain on hold for longer, we may see the USD getting some support while gold\u2019s price and US stock markets could lose ground. Yet we have to bear in mind that the decision is being taken within a wider frame than just monetary policy as Trump is exercising pressure on the bank to ease its monetary policy extensively, and at the same time he is about to name the replacement of Fed Chairman Powell, both of which tend to weigh on the USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BoC also expected to stand pat<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Earlier in the American session we also get from Canada BoC\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold while CAD OIS also currently imply that the market expects the bank to keep rates unchanged until the end of the year. A forward guidance by the bank possibly leaning on the hawkish side could provide support for the Loonie as it could enhance the market\u2019s current expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earnings, Meta, MSFT, Tesla, AT&T,<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we note the release of the earnings reports of AT&T and Tesla, the latter we mentioned yesterday, we highlight Microsoft and the market\u2019s interest is also to be placed on the company\u2019s forward guidance about the Azure AI growth and cloud performance, while for Meta we note the market\u2019s worries for AI spending concerns which tend to raise some eyebrows on whether they will be yielding the hoped results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USD\/CAD<\/u><\/strong> is expected to be hit with a double whammy today given BoC\u2019s and the Fed\u2019s interest rate decisions. The pair tumbled for the past week and in today\u2019s Asian session hit a floor at the 1.3550 (S1) support line, stabilizing somewhat for the time being. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair given its intense downward motion yet issue also a warning for a possible correction higher as the pair seems to have reached oversold levels. Should the bears remain in the driver\u2019s seat, we may see USD\/CAD breaking the 1.3550 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 1.3420 (S2) support level. For a bullish outlook which we consider as remote at the current stage, we would require the pair\u2019s price action to reverse direction, break the 1.3720 (R1) resistance line and continue even higher by breaking the 1.3880 (R2) resistance barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Microsoft<\/u>\u2019s<\/strong> share price has been on the rise for the past four days aiming currently for the 490 (R1) resistance line. We note the emerging bullish intentions given also that the RSI indicator has just surfaced above the reading of 50, yet note that the bullish market sentiment for the share\u2019s price is still weak. Should the bulls maintain control of #MSFT\u2019s share price action, we may see it breaking the 490.00 (R1) resistance line, placing practically the 512.00 (R2) resistance level in its sights. For a bearish outlook to emerge we require #MSFT\u2019s \u00a0share price to break the 465.00 (S1) support line and continue to also break the 439.00 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get Germany\u2019s GfK consumer Sentiment for February, from the US EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure, and later on New Zealand\u2019s December trade data, while ECB Board Member Schnabel speaks. On Thursday, we get New Zealand\u2019s business outlook for January, Japan\u2019s Consumer Confidence for January and later on Sweden\u2019s preliminary GDP rate for Q4 25.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In the current week the highlight is expected to be the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision on Wednesday. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping rates at 3.50%-3.75% range. Hence we expect the market to shift its attention to the bank\u2019s forward guidance and should the bank signal that it intends to remain on hold for longer, we may see the USD getting some support while gold\u2019s price could lose ground. Also on Wednesday we get from Canada, BoC\u2019s interest decision, while on Friday EUR traders may be more interested in the release of Germany\u2019s, France\u2019s and the Euro Zone\u2019s preliminary GDP rates for Q4 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"Fed<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 1.3550 (S1), 1.3420 (S2), 1.3285 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 1.3720 (R1), 1.3880 (R2), 1.4020 (R3\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    MSFT Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"Fed<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 465.00 (S1), 439.00 (S2), 419.50 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 490.00 (R1), 512.00 (R2), 530.00 (R3)\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \"Benchmark<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"Financial<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:
      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFed Interest Rate Decision to Drive USD, Stocks and Gold<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed interest rate decision and forward guidance take center stage, impacting USD, gold, stocks, USD\/CAD, and key earnings.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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