{"id":76119,"date":"2024-01-26T11:01:47","date_gmt":"2024-01-26T09:01:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=76119"},"modified":"2025-12-10T09:13:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T07:13:47","slug":"ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/id\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB stands pat, US GDP rate slows down less than expected"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower against its counterparts yesterday even though the preliminary US GDP rate for Q4 slowed down less than what the market expected. The release tended to underscore the possibility of a soft landing for the US economy. The durable goods orders for December slowed down more than expected, signaling a possible hesitancy on behalf of US businesses to actually invest in the US economy, while the weekly initial jobless claims figure rose more than expected, implying the possibility of a slack being built in the US economy. With <strong>ECB Holds Rates<\/strong> developments also shaping broader market sentiment, today\u2019s market attention falls on the US Core PCE price index for December, the Fed\u2019s favorite inflation measure, and a possible failure to slow down may provide some support for the USD. US stock markets ended the day rather mixed on Thursday, with the earnings season in full force. Today we note the release of the earnings reports of Caterpillar (#CAT), American Express (#AXP) and Colgate-Palmolive (#CL) which could shake the markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Core PCE rates due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UQuxQ3zUHG4?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY remained in a tight sideways motion yesterday. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion between the 146.30 (S1) support line and the 148.25 (R1) resistance line to continue for now. We note that the RSI indicator continues to run along the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market which may allow the sideways motion to continue. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 148.25 (R1) resistance line and aiming for the 149.70 (R2) resistance nest. Should the bears be in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we may see the pair breaking the 146.30 (S1) support line and aiming for the 144.45 (S2) support base.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the Atlantic, ECB as was widely expected remained on hold, keeping the refinancing rate at 4.5% and the deposit rate at 4.00%. In the bank\u2019s accompanying <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/pr\/date\/2024\/html\/ecb.mp240125~f738889bde.en.html\">statement<\/a> there were no major surprises, yet the bank mentioned that \u201cTight financing conditions are dampening demand, and this is helping to push down inflation\u201d which may imply that the bank is to continue to keep monetary policy conditions tight. It\u2019s characteristic that in her press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that there was a consensus at the table that it&#8217;s premature to talk about rate cuts. Overall, we tend to see the case for the bank to push any rate cuts for a later stage than what was expected by the market, possibly around summer. For the time being the market, seems to remain unconvinced and expects the bank to deliver 5, even maybe 6 rate cuts within the year which may preserve any bearish tendencies of the EUR on a monetary level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD edged lower from the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line yesterday. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion of the pair to be maintained between the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line and the 1.0740 (S1) support line. Yet we note that there seem to be some bearish tendencies in the pair\u2019s price action and note that the RSI indicator is aiming for the reading of 30, implying a build-up of a bearish sentiment for the pair among market participants. On the other hand, the pair\u2019s price action is flirting with the lower Bollinger band, which may slow down the bears somewhat. Should an intense selling interest be expressed we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0740 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0615 (S2) support barrier. On the flip side should the pair find extensive buying orders along its path, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1010 (R2) resistance hurdle. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session, we note the release of Germany\u2019s GfK Consumer Sentiment for February and France\u2019s consumer sentiment for January. In the American session, we note the release from the US of the Consumption rate and the Core PCE price index, both being for December. Just before Monday\u2019s Asian session, begins we note the release of New Zealand\u2019s December trade data.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-111.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD technical chart showing trends and indicators following the ECB's decision to hold interest rates steady.\" class=\"wp-image-76120\" title=\"eur-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0740 (S1), 1.0615 (S2), 1.0455 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0890 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1135 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-112.png\" alt=\"USD\/JPY line chart depicting market movements influenced by the ECB's recent decision to maintain interest rates.\" class=\"wp-image-76121\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-113.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76122\" title=\"benchmark-26-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1002\" height=\"579\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-115.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76124\" title=\"table-26-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"975\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-114.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76123\" title=\"morning-releases-26-01-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower against its counterparts yesterday even though the preliminary US GDP rate for Q4, slowed down less<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76119","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ECB Holds Rates as US GDP Slows Less Than Expected<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ECB stays on hold while US GDP slows less than forecast; markets eye Core PCE and FX moves amid shifting rate expectations.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76119\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ECB stands pat, US GDP rate slows down less than expected\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ECB stays on hold while US GDP slows less than forecast; markets eye Core PCE and FX moves amid shifting rate expectations.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/id\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-26T09:01:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T07:13:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"ECB stands pat, US GDP rate slows down less than expected\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-26T09:01:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T07:13:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":779,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"id\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/\",\"name\":\"ECB Holds Rates as US GDP Slows Less Than Expected\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-26T09:01:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T07:13:47+00:00\",\"description\":\"ECB stays on hold while US GDP slows less than forecast; markets eye Core PCE and FX moves amid shifting rate expectations.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"id\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/ecb-stands-pat-us-gdp-rate-slows-down-less-than-expected\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ECB stands pat, US GDP rate slows down less than expected\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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