{"id":96445,"date":"2024-12-18T11:04:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-18T09:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=96445"},"modified":"2024-12-18T11:14:18","modified_gmt":"2024-12-18T09:14:18","slug":"feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/id\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On a monetary policy level, we highlight the release of the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision, in the late American session today. The bank is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points and pause rate cuts in its next meeting. Hence, we place substantial attention on the bank\u2019s forward guidance which is to be included in the accompanying statement and Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s press conference later on. Also, the bank\u2019s macroeconomic projections and new dot plot are to affect the market\u2019s reaction. Should we see the bank show even more hesitation for more rate cuts, thus signaling a further slowdown of its rate-cutting path we may see the USD getting some support. Please note that volatility may extend beyond the time of the release, given Powell\u2019s press conference, while it may also have ripple effects on other markets. For example, a possible hawkish cut could weigh on US equity markets and possibly gold\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Fed, BoE, BoJ in sight, as 2024 comes to an end\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DEW0E-XlijU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD remained relatively unchanged well between the boundaries set by the 1.0600 (R1) resistance line and the 1.0450 (S1) support line. Hence for the time being our sideways motion bias is maintained. The RSI neared the reading of 50, implying an easing of the market\u2019s bearish predisposition for the pair. Yet, we would switch our sideways bias in favour of a bearish outlook in the event of a clear break below the 1.0450 (S1) level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 1.0330 (S2) support line. For a bullish outlook we would require a break above the 1.0600 (R1) level, aiming for the 1.0730 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session we get BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision. JPY OIS currently imply a probability of 82.4% for the bank to remain on hold and proceed with a 25-basis points rate hike in its January meeting. Local media highlighted yesterday that BoJ officials are leaning towards keeping rates unchanged next week. Nevertheless, we still see the risks related to the decision as tilted to the upside and a possible surprise rate hike could provide asymmetric support for the Yen. Yet should the bank remain on hold as expected, it would be kicking the can down the road, with the chances of a rate hike occurring in its next meeting being increased. Hence in such a scenario, we would place considerable weight on the bank\u2019s forward guidance. Should the bank signal the possibility of a rate hike in the January meeting, we may see JPY getting some moderated support, while an absence of such signals in the bank\u2019s accompanying statement could weigh on JPY considerably.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY edged lower yesterday, avoiding a collision with the 154.65 (R1) resistance line. In its downward movement the pair seems to have broken the upward trendline which has been guiding it since the 9<sup>th<\/sup> of December and interrupting a six day winning streak. We see the case for the pair to stabilise and for the time being, we switch our bullish outlook in favour of a sideways motion bias, yet the Fed\u2019s and BoJ\u2019s interest rate decisions could sway the market\u2019s opinion either way. Should the bulls find renewed support we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 154.65 (R1) line and aim for the 158.45 (R2) resistance base. For a bearish outlook, we would require the pair to break the 151.35 (S1) line and start aiming for the 149.40 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In today\u2019s European session, we note the release of UK\u2019s CPI rates for November, ahead of BoE\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow, weighing slightly on the pound. Given today\u2019s release of November\u2019s CPI rates and despite the bearish effect on the pound and if combined with the UK employment data for October released yesterday, we may see BoE\u2019s stance to remain on hold hardening. Today we also get Euro Zone\u2019s final HICP rate for the same month. In the American session, we get from the US the number of building permits and house starts for November, while oil traders may be more interested in the release of the EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure and later we get New Zealand\u2019s GDP rate for Q3. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-73.png\" alt=\"support at one point four one one and resistance at one point four two seven, direction upwards  \" class=\"wp-image-96446\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0450 (S1), 1.0330 (S2), 1.0220 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.0600 (R1), 1.0730 (R2), 1.0835 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY&nbsp; Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-74.png\" alt=\"support at one point two six two and resistance at one point two eight four five, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-96447\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 151.35 (S1), 149.40 (S2), 146.95 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 154.65 (R1), 158.45 (R2), 161.90 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1998\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-75.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-96448\" title=\"benchmark-18-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1090\" height=\"986\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-76.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-96449\" title=\"morning-releases-18-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1097\" height=\"570\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-77.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-96450\" title=\"table-18-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:reseach_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On a monetary policy level, we highlight the release of the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision, in the late American session<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-96445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96445\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/id\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-12-18T09:04:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-12-18T09:14:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-12-18T09:04:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-12-18T09:14:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":806,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"id\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/id\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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