논평을 통해 매수매도 방향을 잡아 보세요.

등록하기

RBA’s and BoJ’s interest rate decisions in focus

After a rather easygoing Monday, we highlight during tomorrow’s Asian session the release of BoJ’s interest rate decision. JPY OIS imply that the bank may remain on hold at -0.10% by 56%, with the rest implying that a 10-basis points rate hike is also possible. So, there is a relative uncertainty for the rate decision itself. It should be noted that CPI rates are slowing down advising a possible delay of any rate hikes. Yet on the other hand, we note that Japanese workers seem to have secured a big pay rise, which was considered as a key prerequisite from BoJ before hiking its interest rates. Should the bank remain on hold we may see JPY slipping, while a possible hike would be unexpected by the market and could cause the JPY to strengthen asymmetrically.

USD/JPY continues to aim for the 149.55 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline initiated since the 11  of March, continues to support the price action. Also the RSI indicator remains near the reading of 70, implying a strong bullish sentiment yet at the same time may imply that the pair is near overbought levels and a correction lower is also possible. Should the bulls actually maintain control over the pair’s direction, as expected, we may see USD/JPY breaking the 149.55 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 150.85 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over we may see the pair breaking initially the prementioned upward trendline, in a first signal that the upward movement has been interrupted, break the 148.05 (S1) support line, thus paving the way for the 146.45 (S2) support base.    

We also note RBA’s interest rate decision tomorrow during the Asian session. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold hence market attention is expected to shift to the release of the accompanying statement. The market currently expects the bank to start cutting rates in August and be done for the year. Yet should the bank actually maintain the hawkish tone of the prior decision implying that another rate hike is possible, in contrast to market expectations, it could provide substantial support for the Aussie. Should the bank ease its hawkishness we may see AUD slipping.

AUD/USD has been moving in a sideways motion over the past 48 hours, between the 0.6620 (R1) resistance line and the 0.6515 (S1) support level. At the same time, we note that the RSI indicator remains below the reading of 50, implying the presence of bearish tendencies within the market sentiment for the pair. Hence we tend to maintain our sideways motion bias. For a clearcut bearish outlook we would require the pair to break the 0.6515 (S1) support line and take aim for the 0.6400 (S2) level, while if the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 0.6620 (R1) line and aiming for the 0.6725 (R2) resistance hurdle. 

금일 주요 경제뉴스

Today in the European session, we get Eurozone’s final HICP rate for February and Norway’s GDP rate for January and later on we get Canada’s producer prices for February, while ECB’s Buch is scheduled to speak.     

As for the rest of the week:

On Tuesday we get Germany’s ZEW indicators for March and Canada’s CPI rates for February. On Wednesday we get UK’s CPI rates for February and New Zealand’s GDP rate for Q4 and we highlight the Fed’s interest rate decision. On Thursday we highlight the release of the preliminary PMI figures for March and also note the release of Japan’s trade data for February, Australia’s employment data for the same month, the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, March’s Philly Fed Business index and New Zealand’s trade data for February and also highlight BoE’s interest rate decision. On Friday we get Japan’s CPI rates for February, UK’s CPI rates for the same month, Germany’s Ifo indicators for March and Canada’s retail sales for January.

USD/JPY 4시간 차트

support at one hundred and forty eight point zero five and resistance at one hundred and forty nine point fifty five, direction upwards

Support: 148.05 (S1), 146.45 (S2), 144.35 (S3)

Resistance: 149.55 (R1), 150.85 (R2), 152.00 (R3)

AUD/USD 4시간 차트

support at zero point six five one five and resistance at zero point six six two, direction sideways

Support: 0.6515 (S1), 0.6400 (S2), 0.6270 (S3)

Resistance: 0.6620 (R1), 0.6725 (R2), 0.6870 (R3)

이 기사와 관련된 일반적인 질문이나 의견이 있으시면 저희 연구팀으로 직접 이메일을 보내주십시오 research_team@ironfx.com

면책 조항:
본 자료는 투자 권유가 아니며 정보 전달의 목적이므로 참조만 하시기 바랍니다. IronFX는 본 자료 내에서 제 3자가 이용하거나 링크를 연결한 데이터 또는 정보에 대해 책임이 없습니다.

뉴스레터에 가입하세요
[gravityform id="4" title="false" ajax="true"]
귀하의 이메일은 마케팅 목적으로만 사용됩니다. 자세한 내용은 다음을 참조하십시오. 개인 정보 보호 정책
공유:
Home Forex blog RBA’s and BoJ’s interest rate decisions in focus
Affiliate World
Global
아랍에미리트 두바이
28 February – 1 March 2022

IronFX Affiliates

iFX EXPO Dubai

22-24 February 2022

Dubai World Trade Center

Meet us there!

Iron 월드 챔피언십

그랜드 피날레

총 우승상금*

*약관 적용.

iron-world
iron-world

아이언 월드

11월 16일 – 12월 16일

최소 입금액 $5,000

모든 거래는 리스크를 수반하며,
자본 전액 손실 가능성이 있습니다.

Iron 월드 챔피언십

one-million

총 우승상금*

planet-usd-thunder
planet-usd-thunder

티타니아 월드

10월 15일 – 11월 15일

최소 입금액 $3,000

이용약관* 적용 모든 거래는 리스크를 수반하며 심각한 자산 손실을 초래할 수 있습니다.

Iron 월드 챔피언십

one-million

총 우승상금*

elements-desktop
elements-mobile

Tantalum 월드

9월 14일~10월 14일

최소 증거금: $500

이용약관* 적용 모든 거래는 리스크를 수반하며 심각한 자산 손실을 초래할 수 있습니다.

IronFX 를 방문해 주심에 감사드립니다

이 웹사이트는 EU 거주민을 대상으로 하지 않으며 유럽 및 MiFID II 규제를 비롯한 영국 FCA(금융감독청) 핸드북에 규정된 규칙, 가이던스, 보호 범위 밖에 있습니다.

계속 진행할지 알려주십시오.

IronFX 를 방문해 주심에 감사드립니다

이 웹사이트는 EU 거주민을 대상으로 하지 않으며 유럽 및 MiFID II 규제 범위 밖에 있습니다.
그래도 IronFX으로 계속 진행하려면 아래를 클릭하십시오.

Iron 월드 챔피언십

one-million

총 우승상금*

3차 예선

14 August - 13 September

최소 증거금: $500

이용약관* 적용 모든 거래는 리스크를 수반하며 심각한 자산 손실을 초래할 수 있습니다.