{"id":77945,"date":"2024-03-07T11:20:26","date_gmt":"2024-03-07T09:20:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=77945"},"modified":"2025-12-10T09:38:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T07:38:24","slug":"ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ko\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB\u2019s interest rate decision under the spotlight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD weakened yesterday as Fed Chairman Powell in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/testimony\/powell20240306a.htm\">testimony<\/a> before the US Senate recognized the need for rate cuts within the year, confirming the market\u2019s expectations. Also, the Fed Chairman stated that progress for inflation towards the bank\u2019s 2% target&nbsp; is not assured, casting some doubt on the number and timing of possible rate cuts to come and at the same time displaying some hesitance on behalf of the bank to cut rates possibly too early. Overall, the release seemed to find stock market participants unimpressed, yet USD\u2019s weakening allowed for gold\u2019s price to reach new record highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"ECB Interest rate decision due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qMdhJAiWsl8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>North of the US border BoC remained on hold at 5.00% as was widely expected and in its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofcanada.ca\/2024\/03\/fad-press-release-2024-03-06\/\">&nbsp; <\/a>maintained its hawkishness by expressing its concerns regarding the outlook of inflation and the persistence of underlying inflation supporting the Loonie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While in Asia we highlight two events. The first would be the wider-than-expected trading surplus of China for February, which highlighted the prospects for the recovery of the Chinese economy and tended to improve the market sentiment. The second would be the strengthening of JPY as BoJ policymakers stressed the possibility to start normalizing the bank\u2019s ultra-loose monetary policy and at the same time there was a verbal market intervention from Japan\u2019s Finance Minister Suzuki to the Yen\u2019s support.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY dropped yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking the 149.55 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance and continued lower aiming for the 147.75 (S1) support line. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair yet note that a correction higher could be in the cards for the pair as the RSI indicator dropped below 30, implying that the pair may be in oversold territory and price action has breached the lower Bollinger band sending similar signals. Should the bears maintain control over the pair we may see it breaking the 147.75 (S1) support line aiming for the 145.90 (S2) level. For a bullish outlook we would require the pair the reverse its losses by breaking the 149.55 (R1) level and aiming for the 150.85 (S2) line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ECB\u2019s interest rate decision is due out today and the bank is widely expected to remain on hold keeping the refinancing rate at 4.50%. Currently EUR OIS imply a probability of 94% for such a scenario to materialise. We expect the market to turn its attention towards the bank\u2019s forward guidance and ECB President Lagarde\u2019s press conference half an hour later. For the time being EUR OIS also tend to imply that the bank is expected by the market to deliver four rate cuts in total in the current year, starting from the June meeting. Should the bank actually show an inclination towards starting to cut rates early, enhancing the market\u2019s expectations we may see the event weighing on the common currency. Should the bank maintain its hawkish tone pushing back against market expectations we may see EUR strengthening. Also please note that volatility for EUR pairs could be extended during ECB President Lagarde\u2019s press conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD edged higher breaking the 1.0890 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook given the direction of the price action and the fact that the RSI indicator has reached the reading of 70 and stabilised, implying a strong bullish market sentiment for the pair. Yet we expect that ECB\u2019s interest rate decision may be the catalyst for EUR\/USD\u2019s direction in the next 24 hours. If the bulls maintain control we may see EUR\/USD continuing to slowly make its way towards the 1.1010 (R1) resistance base. If the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 1.0890 (S1) level and aim for the 1.0740 (S2) line.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\uae08\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\ub274\uc2a4<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note in the American session the release of the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, Canada\u2019s trade balance for January while Cleveland Fed President Mester is scheduled to speak. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get U.S. President Joe Biden\u2019s State of the Union speech. &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-30.png\" alt=\"Chart of EUR\/USD technical analysis featuring ECB interest rates and USD\/JPY exchange information.\" class=\"wp-image-77946\" title=\"usd-jpy-4-\uc2dc\uac04-\ucc28\ud2b8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 147.75 (S1), 145.90 (S2), 144.35 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 149.55 (R1), 150.85 (R2), 151.90 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-31.png\" alt=\"Graph of EUR\/USD exchange rates, highlighting ECB interest rate influences.\" class=\"wp-image-77947\" title=\"eur-usd -4-\uc2dc\uac04-chart \"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0890 (S1), 1.0740 (S2), 1.0615 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.1010 (R1), 1.1135 (R2), 1.1275 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1999\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-32.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-77948\" title=\"benchmark-07-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1004\" height=\"573\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-35.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-77951\" title=\"table-07-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1050\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-33.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-77949\" title=\"morning-releases-07-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"481\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-34.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-77950\" title=\"morning-releases-07-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc774\ub098 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uc2dc\uba74 \uc800\ud76c \uc5f0\uad6c\ud300\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811 \uc774\uba54\uc77c\uc744 \ubcf4\ub0b4\uc8fc\uc2ed\uc2dc\uc624\n <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uba74\ucc45 \uc870\ud56d:<br>\ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc804\ub2ec\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc38\uc870\ub9cc \ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. IronFX\ub294 \ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c 3\uc790\uac00 \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc5f0\uacb0\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub610\ub294 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD weakened yesterday as Fed Chairman Powell in his testimony before the US Senate recognized the need for rate<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ECB Interest Rate Decision Under the Spotlight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ECB interest rate decision under the spotlight as markets parse Lagarde\u2019s guidance after Powell\u2019s dovish tone.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77945\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ECB\u2019s interest rate decision under the spotlight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ECB interest rate decision under the spotlight as markets parse Lagarde\u2019s guidance after Powell\u2019s dovish tone.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ko\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-03-07T09:20:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T07:38:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"ECB\u2019s interest rate decision under the spotlight\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-03-07T09:20:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T07:38:24+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":779,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"name\":\"ECB Interest Rate Decision Under the Spotlight\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-03-07T09:20:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T07:38:24+00:00\",\"description\":\"ECB interest rate decision under the spotlight as markets parse Lagarde\u2019s guidance after Powell\u2019s dovish tone.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/ecbs-interest-rate-decision-under-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ECB\u2019s interest rate decision under the spotlight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ko\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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