{"id":128596,"date":"2026-02-18T13:04:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T11:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=128596"},"modified":"2026-02-20T13:15:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T11:15:26","slug":"markets-focus-on-the-feds-january-meeting-minutes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ms\/markets-focus-on-the-feds-january-meeting-minutes\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets focus on the Fed\u2019s January meeting minutes"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019s meeting minutes could rock the markets<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The highlight today is expected to be the release of the Fed\u2019s January meeting minutes<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It should be noted that the market\u2019s expectations for the Fed\u2019s intentions turned more dovish last Friday, as the US CPI rates<\/strong> for the past month showed an easing of inflationary pressures<\/strong> in the US economy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet the release of Fed\u2019s January meeting minutes could alter the market\u2019s expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the document show a more hawkish <\/strong>predisposition of Fed policymakers, could catch the markets by surprise and force them to readjust their positions and expectations, thus providing some support for the USD. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet the release may have ripple effects beyond the FX market<\/a> with a hawkish document possibly weighing on US stock markets<\/strong>. On the flip side a more than expected dovish <\/strong>text could weigh on the USD <\/strong>and lift US equities<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia\u2019s employment data<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session<\/strong>, we highlight the release of Australia\u2019s employment data for January, as it could shake the Aussie<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analysts expect the employment change<\/strong> figure to drop to 20k and the unemployment rate<\/strong> to tick up to 4.2%, both indicators implying an easing <\/strong>of the Australian employment market<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the data show an unexpected tightening of the Australian employment market, we may see the Aussie getting asymmetric support, while a wider than expected slack in the Australian employment market could weigh on AUD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US stock markets remain stable<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US stock markets<\/a> tend to remain relatively stable, and market participants tend to keep an eye out for the developments in negotiations for the take over of Warner Bros<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Netflix <\/strong>seems to be wobbling, yet could get some support should market expectations<\/a> for Paramount <\/strong>to fail to take over Warner Bros, be on the rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we got UK\u2019s CPI rates<\/strong> for January, France\u2019s final HICP rates<\/strong>, the US Durable goods, Building Permits and Housing starts for December and industrial output for January, while later on we get the weekly API crude oil inventories figure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s machinery orders for December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

AUD\/USD<\/u><\/strong> remained relatively stable yesterday, between the 0.7145 (R1) resistance line<\/strong> and the 0.6940 (S1) support level<\/strong>. We maintain a bullish outlook<\/strong> for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding the pair remains intact. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The RSI indicator<\/strong> remains below, but near the reading of 70 implying a bullish predisposition of the market for the pair. For our bullish outlook to be maintained we would require the pair to from a higher peak and for that to happen AUD\/USD<\/a> has to break the 0.7145 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 0.7280 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bearish <\/strong>outlook to emerge, we would require the pair to drop break the prementioned upward trendline and continue to break also the 0.6940 (S1) support line, with the next possible target for the bears being the 0.6800 (S2) support barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S&P 500<\/span><\/strong> remained in a tight sideways motion between the 7015 (R1) resistance line and the 6715 (S1) support level. wobble just above the 66750 (S1) support line yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session edged a bit lower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We maintain currently a bias <\/strong>for the index\u2019s sideways motion <\/strong>to continue, given also that the RSI indicator remains just below but near the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bulls be in control of the index\u2019s direction we may see S&P 500<\/a> breaking the record high level of 7015 (R1) resistance line and set as the next possible target for the bulls<\/strong> the 7250 (R2) resistance hurdle. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bears <\/strong>take over we may see S&P 500, breaking the 6715 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 6490 (S2) support barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 0.6940 (S1), 0.6840 (S2), 0.6620 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 0.7145 (R1), 0.7280 (R2), 0.7455 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    US 500 Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 6715 (S1), 6490 (S2), 6210 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 7015 (R1), 7250 (R2), 7500 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \"Bar<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"Economic<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:
      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFed January Meeting Could Shift USD, Stocks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed January meeting may alter rate cut expectations, move the USD, impact US equities, and influence AUD ahead of Australia jobs data.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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