{"id":79713,"date":"2024-04-05T10:19:10","date_gmt":"2024-04-05T07:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=79713"},"modified":"2025-12-11T11:53:46","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T09:53:46","slug":"marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ms\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"March\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today attention is expected to turn towards the release of the US employment report for March. The Non-Farm Payrolls figure is expected to drop to 200k, if compared to February\u2019s 275k, the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.9% and the average earnings growth rate to ease to 4.1%yoy. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts we may see the USD slipping as the drop of the NFP figure may disappoint traders, yet the fact that the unemployment rate is to remain unchanged at 3.9%, low, implying a relative tightness of the US employment market, may soften the blow. Please note that the uncertainty for the actual rates and figures remains high, which may increase volatility at the time of the release. Also, the release is expected to have ripple effects beyond the USD, on US stock markets and gold and a possible easing of the US employment market\u2019s tightness could support the gold and equities. The importance of the release is highlighted by the attention of the market to the Fed\u2019s intentions about the timing and the extent of future rate cuts, given also the Fed\u2019s dual mandate to keep inflation low and promote maximum employment. We do not expect the Fed\u2019s stance to be materially altered as the data seem to remain in line with prior months and may allow the bank to maintain tight financial conditions in the US economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US Employment data due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/e9ljJ15Hy1Y?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY edged lower during today\u2019s Asian session, yet bounced on the 150.85 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion of the pair to continue currently given the relative stability of the pair since the 21<sup>st<\/sup> of March, yet yesterday\u2019s movement displayed the possibility of a change in direction. Should the bulls find a chance and take over once again, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 151.90 (R1) resistance line, which is a thirty year high with the next possible target for the bulls being set at the 153.80 (R2) resistance hurdle. Should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 150.85 (S1) support line and taking aim of the 149.00 (S2) support base.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, we also get Canada\u2019s employment data for the same month. The employment change figure is expected to drop to 20.0k and the unemployment rate to tick up to 5.9%. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, we may see the CAD losing some ground, as the release would imply further easing of the Canadian employment market and could shift BoC\u2019s monetary policy stance towards a more dovish aspect.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD despite some weakening in yesterday\u2019s European session, corrected higher later on and maintained its rangebound movement between the 1.3610 (R1) resistance line and the 1.3485 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain a bias for the sideways motion to be maintained given the pair\u2019s movement since early February, yet also note that the simultaneous release of the US and Canadian employment data for March later today could prove to be a game changer for the pair. Should a selling interest be expressed by the market, we may see the pair breaking the 1.3485 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.3365 (S2) support level. Should the on the other hand, buyers take control over the pair\u2019s direction, we may see USD\/CAD breaking the 1.3610 (R1) resistance line and aiming for the 1.3710 (R2) resistance level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session we note the release of UK\u2019s Halifax House prices for March, UK\u2019s and the Eurozone construction PMI figures for the same month and Eurozone\u2019s retail sales for February. On the monetary front in the American session, we note that Boston Fed President Collins, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Dallas Fed President Logan and Fed Board Governor Bowman are scheduled to speak. In Monday\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s current account balance for February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-24.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty point eighty five and resistance at one hundred and fifty one point nine, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-79714\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 150.85 (S1), 149.00 (S2), 146.50 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 151.90 (R1), 153.80 (R2), 155.50 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"> <p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom:0in;line-height:105%\"><b><span lang=\"EN-GB\">USD\/CAD H4 Chart <\/span><\/b><\/p><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-25.png\" alt=\"support at one point three four eight five and resistance at one point three six one, direction sideways       \" class=\"wp-image-79715\" title=\"usd-cad-four-hour-chart \"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3485 (S1), 1.3365 (S2), 1.3265 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3610 (R1), 1.3710 (R2), 1.3850 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1999\" height=\"491\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-26.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79716\" title=\"benchmark-05-04-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"955\" height=\"578\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-29.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79719\" title=\"table-05-04-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1024\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79717\" title=\"morning-releases-05-04-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1247\" height=\"687\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-28.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79718\" title=\"morning-releases-05-04-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today attention is expected to turn towards the release of the US employment report for March. The Non-Farm Payrolls figure<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-79713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>March US Employment Report Set to Shake Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The March US employment report may shake markets as NFP, unemployment, and wages guide USD moves and expectations for future Fed rate cuts.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79713\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"March\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The March US employment report may shake markets as NFP, unemployment, and wages guide USD moves and expectations for future Fed rate cuts.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ms\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-04-05T07:19:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-11T09:53:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"March\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-04-05T07:19:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-11T09:53:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":772,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ms-MY\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\",\"name\":\"March US Employment Report Set to Shake Markets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-04-05T07:19:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-11T09:53:46+00:00\",\"description\":\"The March US employment report may shake markets as NFP, unemployment, and wages guide USD moves and expectations for future Fed rate cuts.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ms-MY\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/marchs-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"March\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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