{"id":95920,"date":"2024-12-06T11:51:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-06T09:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=95920"},"modified":"2024-12-06T11:51:16","modified_gmt":"2024-12-06T09:51:16","slug":"novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ms\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"November\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD weakened against its counterparts yesterday, in a rather quiet Thursday and markets are increasingly focusing on the release of November\u2019s US employment report. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) figure is expected to rise to 200k if compared to October\u2019s 12k, while the unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 4.2% and the average earnings growth rate to slow down. Overall given that the hurricanes are over and Boeing employees ended their strike and returned to work, we expect the NFP figure to rise. Our worries are whether the NFP figure is going to reach the forecasts or not. It should be noted that the ADP figure for November dropped more than expected implying that hiring in the private sector may not have been as high as expected, while the weekly initial jobless claims figure rose more than expected implying high layoffs. Hence should the NFP figure rise yet not be able to reach the forecasts, we may see the USD retreating, while should the actual NFP figure surpass the 200k figure, we may see the USD gaining. The release may have ripple effects beyond the FX market and signals of a possibly tighter US employment market could weigh on US equities and gold\u2019s price. Should the US employment report show a tighter than expected US employment market for the past month we may see the release weighing on gold\u2019s price, and US stock markets falling as a tighter US employment market may prompt the Fed to maintain a less dovish stance. Please note that market currently expects the bank to proceed with a rate cut in the December meeting and remain on hold in the next one. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"It&#039;s NFP Friday!\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/PWgUjY_KZ8E?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, USD\/JPY maintained its sideways motion between the 151.35 (R1) resistance line and the 149.40 (S1) support level. Hence we maintain our bias for the rangebound motion to continue within the prementioned boundaries. The RSI indicator remains below the reading of 50, implying possibly a bearish predisposition of market participants for the pair. For a bearish outlook we would require the pair to break the 149.40 (S1) line clearly and start aiming for the 146.95 (S2) level. Should the bulls take over, we may see USD\/JPY, breaking the 151.35 (R1) level, opening the gates for the 154.65 (R2) base.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time as the US employment report for November we also get Canada\u2019s employment data for the same month. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 6.6% if compared to October\u2019s 6.5% and the employment change figure is expected to rise to 25.0k if compared to October\u2019s 14.5k. Overall the data tend to be mixed yet a possible rise of the employment change figure beyond forecasts may provide some support for the Loonie, while a tick up of the unemployment rate may clip any bullish reactions for the CAD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD yesterday remained well between the 151.35 (R1) resistance line and the 149.40 (S1) support level. We maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue within the prementioned boundaries. The RSI indicator remains above the reading of 50, implying possibly the presence of a bullish sentiment among market participants for the pair. For a bearish outlook we would require the pair to break the 1.4110 (S1) line clearly and start aiming for the 1.4270 (S2) level. Should the bulls take over, we may see USD\/JPY, breaking the 1.3960 (R1) level, opening the gates for the 1.3820 (R2) base.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s industrial output for October, UK\u2019s Halifax House prices for November, Euro Zone\u2019s revised GDP rate for Q3 and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment. On the monetary front, we note that Fed Board Governor Bowman, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, Cleveland Fed President Hammack and San Francisco Fed President Daly\u00a0 are scheduled to make statements. In Monday\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s October current account balance and Q3\u2019s revised GDP rate as well as China\u2019s November inflation metrics. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-21.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and forty nine point four and resistance at one hundred and fifty one point thirty five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-95921\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 149.40 (S1), 146.95 (S2), 143.45 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 151.35 (R1), 154.65 (R2), 158.45 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/CAD\u00a0 Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-22.png\" alt=\"support at one point three nine six and resistance at one point four one one, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-95922\" title=\"usd-cad-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.3960 (S1), 1.3820 (S2), 1.3600 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.4110 (R1), 1.4270 (R2), 1.4480 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1991\" height=\"491\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-23.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-95923\" title=\"benchmark-6-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1090\" height=\"1168\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-24.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-95924\" title=\"morning-releases-6-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1053\" height=\"574\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-95925\" title=\"table-6-12-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:reseach_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD weakened against its counterparts yesterday, in a rather quiet Thursday and markets are increasingly focusing on the release<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-95920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95920\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"November\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ms\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-12-06T09:51:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-12-06T09:51:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"November\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-12-06T09:51:01+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-12-06T09:51:16+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":764,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ms-MY\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ms\\\/novembers-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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