{"id":76546,"date":"2024-02-05T10:55:32","date_gmt":"2024-02-05T08:55:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=76546"},"modified":"2025-12-11T13:53:22","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T11:53:22","slug":"rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/nl\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The US employment report for January came in substantially stronger than what the market expected, providing support for the USD across the board. It should be noted that the bullish movement of the USD forced gold\u2019s price lower given also the rise of US yields. Nevertheless, US stockmarkets were able to rise, yet the release may allow the Fed to maintain high rates for a longer period on a monetary level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"RBA interest rate decision tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/vuMMjZb7TNw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market, USD\/JPY rose on Friday yet tended to stabilise just below the 148.55 (R1) resistance line. Friday\u2019s movement forced us to recalibrate the resistance lines of the pair, and currently, we tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion of USD\/JPY to continue. We note that the RSI indicator is between the readings of 50 and 70 implying a residue of a bullish sentiment and should it intensify, we may see the pair moving higher. For a bullish outlook, we would require the pair to break clearly the 18.55 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 150.00 (R2) resistance level. On the flip side should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 146.30 (S1) support line, thus paving the way for the 144.45 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We turn our attention now to the release of RBA\u2019s interest rate decision on Tuesday\u2019s Asian session. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold and currently, AUD OIS imply a probability of 96.59% for such a scenario to materialise. The market focus is expected to be on the bank\u2019s accompanying statement. The CPI rate is still above the bank\u2019s inflation target range of 2-3%, which may force the bank to remain strict in its hawkishness and such a scenario may support AUD as the bank would be implying a continuance of the restrictive financial environment in Australia. Yet the easing of inflationary pressures in Q4, may moderate the bank\u2019s stance and if so, could weaken the Aussie. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, AUD\/USD dropped on Friday and is currently stabilising around the 0.6515 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain a bias for a sideways motion of the pair, yet note that the RSI indicator remains between the readings of 50 and 30, implying a residue of a bearish sentiment. For a bearish outlook we would require the pair to break clearly the 0.6515 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.6400 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair reversing course, breaking the 0.6620 (R1) resistance line, thus opening the gates for the 0.6725 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We note in the European session, the release of Turkey\u2019s CPI rates for January, Eurozone\u2019s and the UK\u2019s final services and Composite PMI figures for January as well as Eurozone\u2019s Sentix index for February and Eurozone\u2019s PPI rates for December. In the American session, we get the US ISM non-manufacturing PMI figure for January and on the monetary front BoE chief economist Pill, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem and Atlanta Fed President Bostic are scheduled to speak. In the Asian session tomorrow, we note the release of Australia\u2019s retail trade growth rate for Q4 and Japan\u2019s All household spending for December, while Philadelphia Fed President Harker is scheduled to speak.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get Germany\u2019s industrial orders for December, UK\u2019s Construction PMI figure for January and New Zealand\u2019s Q4 employment data while on Wednesday we start with Germany\u2019s industrial output for December, UK\u2019s Halifax House Prices for January and Canada\u2019s trade data for December. On Thursday we get Japan\u2019s current account balance for December, China\u2019s inflation metrics for January and from the US the weekly initial jobless claims figure and on the monetary front, we note from the Czech Republic CNB\u2019s interest rate decision. Finally, on Friday, we note the release of Norway\u2019s CPI rates and Canada\u2019s employment data, both being for January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-18.png\" alt=\"support at zero point sic five one five and resistance at zero point six six two, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-76547\" title=\"aud-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.6515 (S1), 0.6400 (S2), 0.6270 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.6620 (R1), 0.6725 (R2), 0.6870 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-19.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred forty six point three and resistance at one hundred forty eight point fifty five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-76548\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 146.30 (S1), 144.45 (S2), 143.00 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 148.55 (R1), 150.00 (R2), 151.85 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1989\" height=\"487\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-20.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76549\" title=\"benchmark-05-02-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1011\" height=\"589\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-23.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76552\" title=\"table-05-02-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1024\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-21.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76550\" title=\"morning-releases-05-02-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"738\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-22.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-76551\" title=\"morning-releases-05-02-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US employment report for January came in substantially stronger than what the market expected, providing support for the USD<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA Interest Rate Decision in Focus for Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RBA interest rate decision could move AUD as traders gauge the bank\u2019s tone on inflation, while strong US jobs data supports USD momentum.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76546\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_NL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision ahead\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"RBA interest rate decision could move AUD as traders gauge the bank\u2019s tone on inflation, while strong US jobs data supports USD momentum.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/nl\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-05T08:55:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-11T11:53:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision ahead\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-05T08:55:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-11T11:53:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":765,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"nl-NL\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"RBA Interest Rate Decision in Focus for Markets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-05T08:55:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-11T11:53:22+00:00\",\"description\":\"RBA interest rate decision could move AUD as traders gauge the bank\u2019s tone on inflation, while strong US jobs data supports USD momentum.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"nl-NL\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-ahead-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision ahead\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/nl\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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