{"id":74577,"date":"2023-12-14T11:06:09","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T09:06:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=74577"},"modified":"2025-12-09T15:14:49","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T13:14:49","slug":"boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ph\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD retreated substantially across the board yesterday as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20231213a.htm\">Fed remained on hold <\/a>as was widely expected, yet sounded more dovish than what the market may have expected. Furthermore, the new <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/fomcprojtabl20231213.pdf\">dot plot <\/a>showed that Fed policymakers now tend to expect the interest rate to fall more in the coming year than in the September meeting. Overall the dovish Fed interest rate decision allowed for US stock markets to rise, as there was a more risk-on approach by the market favoring more riskier assets and the weakening of the USD allowed for Gold\u2019s price to ascend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"All eyes on the ECB and BOE following dovish FED\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/dda0j5UtFuw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Market interest now turns across the Atlantic as BoE is to release its interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping rates at&nbsp; 5.25% and GBP OIS imply a probability of 94.11% currently, for such a scenario to materialize. The market is expecting the bank to start easing its tight monetary policy from March onwards and proceed with a total of five rate cuts in the coming year. We expect a certain degree of hawkishness as the CPI rates, despite a substantial slowdown in October, are still high. Yet a possible cautiousness along with a recognition that the bank\u2019s rates are in a restrictive territory, could reassure the markets that rate cuts are under way and could weaken the pound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GBP\/USD jumped breaking the 1.2600 (S1) resistance line now turned to support. Given that the downward motion has been interrupted and the RSI indicator has jumped above the reading of 50 implying a buying interest in the market sentiment, we switch our bearish outlook in favour of a bullish outlook for the time being, yet note that BoE\u2019s interest rate decision may lead the pair to any direction. Should the bulls actually be in charge, we may see the pair breaking the 1.2735 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.2880 (R2) resistance nest. Should the bears take over, we may see cable diving below the 1.2600 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.2445 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the Channel, we note the release of ECB\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is expected to remain on hold. Currently, EUR OIS imply a probability of 96% for such a scenario to materialize, yet also that the bank is to start cutting rates in early March and end the year with a total of six rate cuts. It should be noted that the HICP rate has slowed down considerably in November\u2019s preliminary release, nearing the bank\u2019s 2% target, strengthening the case for earlier rate cuts. Should the bank show signs that it intends to start cutting rates early next year, we may see the common currency losing some ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD jumped breaking the 1.0835 (S1) resistance line now turned to support. We switch our past bias for a sideways motion in favour of a bullish outlook given also that the RSI indicator has surpassed the reading of 70, implying a strong bullish sentiment on behalf of the market. Yet the fact that the RSI indicator has broken the reading of 70 and given also that the price action is flirting with the upper Bollinger band, we may see the pair being ripe for a correction lower as it may have reached overbought levels. Should buyers maintain control over the pair, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0965 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1065 (R2) resistance level. On the other hand should a selling interest be expressed by the market, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0835 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0735 (S2) support level.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session we get Sweden\u2019s CPI rates for November and then we note the release of SNB\u2019s, Norgesbank\u2019s, BoE\u2019s and ECB\u2019s interest rate decisions. In the American session, we note the release of the weekly initial jobless claims figure and November\u2019s retail sales growth rate. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for December as well as China\u2019s urban investment and industrial output growth rates for November.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-62.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD technical chart highlighting trends influenced by BoE and ECB interest rate changes.\" class=\"wp-image-74578\" title=\"eur-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0835 (S1), 1.0735 (S2), 1.0655 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0965 (R1), 1.1065 (R2), 1.1150 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gbp-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>GBP\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-63.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD technical chart showing trends influenced by BoE and ECB interest rate decisions.\" class=\"wp-image-74579\" title=\"gbp-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.2600 (S1), 1.2445 (S2), 1.2310 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.2735 (R1), 1.2880 (R2), 1.2995 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1987\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-64.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74580\" title=\"benchmark-14-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1094\" height=\"627\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-67.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74583\" title=\"table-14-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1544\" height=\"1126\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-65.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74581\" title=\"morning-releases-14-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"630\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-66.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74582\" title=\"morning-releases-14-12-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD retreated substantially across the board yesterday as the Fed remained on hold as was widely expected, yet sounded<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BoE and ECB Interest Rate Decisions: Markets on Alert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions take center stage as traders assess policy signals, potential cuts, and impacts on GBP and EUR trends.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74577\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions in focus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions take center stage as traders assess policy signals, potential cuts, and impacts on GBP and EUR trends.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ph\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-12-14T09:06:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-09T13:14:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions in focus\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-12-14T09:06:09+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-09T13:14:49+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":790,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tl\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/\",\"name\":\"BoE and ECB Interest Rate Decisions: Markets on Alert\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-12-14T09:06:09+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-09T13:14:49+00:00\",\"description\":\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions take center stage as traders assess policy signals, potential cuts, and impacts on GBP and EUR trends.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tl\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/boe-and-ecb-interest-rate-decisions-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"BoE and ECB interest rate decisions in focus\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ph\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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