{"id":118143,"date":"2025-08-06T16:30:59","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T13:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=118143"},"modified":"2025-08-06T16:31:23","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T13:31:23","slug":"equities-report-us-equities-stabilise-for-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/pt\/equities-report-us-equities-stabilise-for-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: US Equities stabilise for now"},"content":{"rendered":"

Since our last report, US equities have corrected lower and stabilised as if the markets have adopted a wait-and-see position. Fundamentally there are a number of fundamental developments that could be of interest for the markets and some we are to discuss in today\u2019s report, have a look for upcoming earnings reports and we are to conclude the report with a technical analysis of S&P 500\u2019s daily chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market expectations for a rate cut intensify<\/strong><\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

We had a number of developments regarding the Fed since our last report. On Wednesday, the Fed\u2019s forward guidance released with its interest rate decision tended to highlight the bank\u2019s hesitation towards a possible easing of its monetary policy which in turn eased the market\u2019s expectations to cut rates until the end of the year. Yet the release of the US employment report for July, provided a shock for the market as the NFP figure dropped substantially beyond market expectations, while at the same time the unemployment rate ticked up and the NFP figures of June and May was revised lower by an aggregated 258k. Overall the release tended to highlight the rapidly deteriorating conditions in the US employment market and thus revived the market\u2019s dovish expectations. Currently the market prices-in the bank to cut rates twice until the end of the year, in the September and October meetings. Furthermore Fed Board Governor Kugler resigned, a development that allows US President Trump to switch a hawk with a dove in the FOMC. Furthermore, US President Trump stated yesterday that he has narrowed the list of potential names to replace Fed Chairman Powell and that he will be naming the successor of Powell by Friday. Should the nominee, seem to be adhering to US President Trump\u2019s dovish wishes, we may see the market\u2019s dovish expectations intensifying. Should we see Fed policymakers in the coming week adopting a more dovish stance, we may see US stock markets getting some support as the prospect of easing financial conditions in the US economy could intensify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Financial releases coming up<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In the coming week, we highlight the release of the US CPI rates for July on Tuesday. The rates are expected to accelerate both on a headline and core level, which could imply a persistence of inflationary pressures in the US economy. Should the CPI rates accelerate beyond market expectations, we may see the US stock markets losing ground as the market\u2019s expectations for further easing of the Fed\u2019s monetary policy would be contradicted. On the flip side, a possible slowdown of the CPI rates could be a surprise for the markets thus allowing a more risk-oriented approach to emerge and thus could provide some support for US equities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s tariff wars<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

On the trade wars front, we note Trump\u2019s intentions to substantially raise the current 25% US tariffs imposed on Indian products, given that Indian purchases of Russian oil fuel the war in Ukraine. The US President also highlighted his intentions to impose tariffs on pharmaceuticals imported into the US, which are to gradually rise to 250% over the next two and a half years, but also on semiconductors. Should we see trading tensions being elevated in the coming week, we may see them weighing on US equities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earnings reports ahead<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The earnings season is still ongoing, yet we have to note that most high profile companies have allready released their earnings report. Nevertheless we still note a couple of releases among which the release of Alibaba tomorrow Thursday, on Monday we get BHP\u2019s earnings report and on Tuesday we get the figures of Home Depot and Xiaomi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US500 Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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