{"id":128826,"date":"2026-02-20T12:07:28","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T10:07:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=128826"},"modified":"2026-02-20T13:15:06","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T11:15:06","slug":"us-pce-and-gdp-rates-being-watched","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ru\/us-pce-and-gdp-rates-being-watched\/","title":{"rendered":"US PCE and GDP rates being watched"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-release-of-the-us-pce-rates-and-gdp-rates-in-the-epicenter\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>The release of the US PCE rates and GDP rates in the epicenter<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"h-the-release-of-the-us-pce-rates-and-gdp-rates-in-the-epicenter\">The release of the Fed\u2019s January meeting minutes, revealed the worries of some policymakers for the persistence of inflationary pressures in the US economy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"h-the-release-of-the-us-pce-rates-and-gdp-rates-in-the-epicenter\">Today, we highlight the release of the US PCE rates for December, the Fed\u2019s favourite inflation metric. Should the rates show a persistence or even an intensification of inflationary pressures in the US economy, we may see the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-gains-while-thin-trading-conditions-may-apply\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">USD getting support<\/a>, as the market may be forced to ease its expectations for the Fed to cut rates. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"h-the-release-of-the-us-pce-rates-and-gdp-rates-in-the-epicenter\">On the flip side should the rates slow down beyond market expectations, we may see the USD retreat. Also, we highlight the release of the preliminary US GDP rate for Q4 25. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"h-the-release-of-the-us-pce-rates-and-gdp-rates-in-the-epicenter\">The rate is expected to slow down to 3.00%yy from prior 4.4%yy and a wider than expected slowdown could weigh on the USD as it would imply that the US economy grew at an even slower pace than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-oil-prices-about-to-end-the-week-in-the-greens\"><strong>Oil prices about to end the week in the greens<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices continued to rise yesterday as market worries for a possible US-Iran conflict and a subsequent chocking point for the supply side of the international <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ru\/markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">oil market<\/a>, remain present. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should we see the market\u2019s worries being maintained or even intensify, we may see oil prices getting additional support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-stock-markets-maintain-a-wait-and-see-position\"><strong>US stock markets maintain a wait and see position<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Major US equity market indexes remained stable over the past 24 hours, signalling a wait and see position ahead of today\u2019s financial releases. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A possible acceleration of the PCE rates could weigh on US stock markets as it could harden the Fed\u2019s position to remain on hold for longer and vice versa. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, we still see the markets as leaning on the cautious side,\u00a0 given also a wider fundamental uncertainty in regards to the path of the US economy, the size of AI investments and the Fed\u2019s intentions.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-today\"><strong>Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s producer prices, UK\u2019s retail sales, Sweden\u2019s CPI rates all for January, February\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for Germany, France, the Euro Zone\u2019s, the UK\u2019s and the US, the US PCE rates for December, Canada\u2019s PPI rates for January, Canada\u2019s retail sales for December, the final US UoM Sentiment indicator for February and the Dallas Fed PCE rates for December. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monetary level, we note the speeches of Atlanta Fed President Bostic and St. Louis Fed President Musalem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out\"><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ru\/markets\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">EUR\/USD<\/a><\/strong> has befalling for the past week reflecting also the strengthening of the USD side of the pair and is currently aiming for the 1.1665 (S1) support line. The RSI indicator tends to imply a slightly bearish sentiment for the pair, and we expect the pair\u2019s downward motion to be maintained for now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet today\u2019s US and European financial releases could alter the pair\u2019s direction. Should the bears remain in charge we may see the pair breaking the 1.1665 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 1.1465 (S2) support level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair reversing the losses of the past ten days and breaking the 1.1915 (R1) resistance line with the next possible stop for the bulls being placed at the 1.2115 (R2) resistance barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/oil-outlook-wti-prices-recover-some-ground-and-stabilise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>WTI<\/strong>\u2019s price<\/a> continued to rally breaking the 66.20 (S1) resistance line and using it as a support level in today\u2019s Asian session. We had recognised the bullish tendencies of the commodity\u2019s price action in yesterday\u2019s report and today we officially switch our outlook in favour of a bullish one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bullish outlook be upheld as expected, we may see the pair aiming for the 70.00 (R1) round resistance line. For a bearish outlook, which we currently see as remote, we would require WTI\u2019s price action to break the 66.250 (S1) support line and continue to also break the 61.80 (S2) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being set at the 59.80 (S3) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/eur-usd-daily-chart-20022026-technical-analysis.png\" alt=\"Line chart of EUR\/USD with Bollinger Bands, support and resistance levels (S1: 1.1666, R1: 1.1915), moving averages, and RSI below, showing recent price decline from resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-128827\" title=\"xau-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.1665 (S1), 1.1465 (S2), 1.1260 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.1915 (R1), 1.2115 (R2), 1.2265 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/wti-usd-daily-chart-20022026-technical-analysis.png\" alt=\"A candlestick chart shows a price trend reversing from downward to upward, with Bollinger Bands, resistance levels at 70, 73.35, and 76, and support levels at 66.20, 61.80, and 59.80. RSI indicator is below the WTI\/USD chart.\" class=\"wp-image-128828\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 66.20 (S1), 61.80 (S2), 59.80 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 70.00 (R1), 73.35 (R2), 76.60 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"830\" height=\"203\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/benchmark-daily-20022026-daily-analysis-report.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar chart titled Benchmark Currency Rates - Daily Gainers &amp; Losers showing USD\/CHF up 0.37%, USD\/JPY up 0.06%; USD\/CAD down 0.07%, AUD\/USD down 0.27%, EUR\/USD down 0.31%, GBP\/USD down 0.33%.\" class=\"wp-image-128829\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"455\" height=\"575\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/financial-calendar-20022026-analysis-daily.png\" alt=\"A table titled Fridays Releases lists various economic data releases by country, time, and details such as period, survey, actual, prior, impact, and comments, with major events highlighted in bold red text.\" class=\"wp-image-128830\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US PCE and GDP rates being watched<\/title>\n<meta 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