{"id":73442,"date":"2023-11-17T11:01:53","date_gmt":"2023-11-17T09:01:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=73442"},"modified":"2023-11-24T10:26:16","modified_gmt":"2023-11-24T08:26:16","slug":"usd-is-about-to-end-the-week-in-the-reds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ru\/usd-is-about-to-end-the-week-in-the-reds\/","title":{"rendered":"USD is about to end the week in the reds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD stabilized somewhat yesterday yet is about to end the week in the reds after the release of lower-than-expected CPI rates for October. It should be noted that financial releases yesterday may have been an obstacle for the greenback to recover more ground as they sent mixed signals. The Philly Fed Business index for November improved yet the US industrial output growth rate for October contracted more than expected, highlighting the problems faced by the US manufacturing sector. Furthermore, the weekly initial jobless claims figure rose slightly more than expected, implying an easing in the US employment market. On the monetary front, we note that a number of Fed policymakers made statements yesterday and overall, a pattern seems to emerge with Fed policymakers not being quite convinced yet about the easing of inflationary pressures and requiring more data. The statements could be regarded as leaning towards the hawkish side and if repeated today or even intensified we may see the USD getting some support. It should be noted that US equities bulls trended to hesitate yesterday with market worries being primarily on Ali Baba which shelved the idea of a spin-off of its cloud business and on Walmart which issued a warning about its revenue in the critical Christmas season with both shares retreating substantially yesterday.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"USD about to end the week in the reds\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/lUTqoudyQOs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, the USD edged lower yesterday against the JPY, yet the overall sideways motion between the 151.70 (R1) and the 150.10 (S1) levels seems to remain. The consolidation of the price action seems to be entering a bearish wedge and the RSI indicator is between the reading of 50 and 30, implying the presence of some bearish tendencies. Hence we tend to maintain our bias for a sideways motion temporarily yet warn for &nbsp;a possible bearish movement. Yet for a clearcut bearish outlook, we would require the pair\u2019s price action to clearly break the 150.10 (S1) support line, in a first signal that the upward motion has been interrupted and actively aim for the 148.25 (S2) support base. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 151.70 (R10 resistance line and aim for the 153.35 (R2) resistance level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the commodities front, we note the wide drop in oil prices yesterday. Market worries for the demand side of the commodity especially from China, a slack in the US oil market were already weighing on the commodity\u2019s price yet yesterday the contraction of the US industrial output seemed to place additional strain on oil prices. It should be noted that both the EIA and OPEC tended to be rather bullish about the demand outlook of the commodity, yet the markets seem to remain unconvinced for now. The drop in oil prices places more pressure on OPEC to roll over if not deepen its production cuts in its next meeting on the 26<sup>th<\/sup> of November, yet with no additional production cuts on the horizon currently, should the market worry about the demand side of the commodity intensify we may see further bearish pressures being exercised.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WTI\u2019s price dropped yesterday breaking the 75.10 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. Given the downward trendline, yesterday\u2019s bearish breakout and the RSI being at the reading of 30, implying a bearish sentiment on behalf of the market we expect the commodity\u2019s price to go even lower. Please note though that the price action has broken the lower Bollinger band and the RSI indicator as mentioned is at the reading of 30, both possibly implying that WTI\u2019s price may have reached oversold levels and is ripe for a correction higher. Should the bears maintain control, we may see WTI\u2019s price breaking the 70.00 (S1) support level aiming for the 66.85 (S2) barrier. For a&nbsp; bullish outlook we would require the commodity\u2019s price to break the 75.10 (R1) line, the prementioned downward trendline and aim if not reach the 79.65 (R2) resistance nest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of the UK\u2019s retail sales, the Eurozone\u2019s final HICP rate, Canada\u2019s producers prices, and from the US the number of housing starts and building permits, all being for October. On the monetary front, a number of policymakers from various central banks are to make statements.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-4-hour-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY 4 Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"442\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-87.png\" alt=\"support one hundred and fifty point one and resistance at one hundred and fifty-one point seven, direction sideways   \" class=\"wp-image-73443\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 150.10 (S1), 148.25 (S2), 147.25 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 151.70 (R1), 153.35 (R2), 154.70 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti-4-hour-chart\"><strong>WTI 4 Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-88.png\" alt=\"support at seventy and resistance at seventy five point one, direction downwards   \" class=\"wp-image-73444\" title=\"wti-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 70.00 (S1), 66.85 (S2), 62.25 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 75.10 (R1), 79.65 (R2), 83.00 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2003\" height=\"491\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-89.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-73445\" title=\"benchmark-17-11-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1071\" height=\"617\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-94.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-73450\" title=\"table-17-11-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1058\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-90.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-73446\" title=\"morning-releases-17-11-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1248\" height=\"679\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-93.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-73449\" title=\"morning-releases-17-11-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD stabilized somewhat yesterday yet is about to end the week in the reds after the release of lower-than-expected<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD is about to end the week in the reds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore recent financial issues, forecasts, and upcoming releases. 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