{"id":78328,"date":"2024-03-20T10:50:15","date_gmt":"2024-03-20T08:50:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=78328"},"modified":"2025-12-10T15:06:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T13:06:03","slug":"feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ru\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The market focus now turns to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the late American session today. The bank is expected to remain on hold, keeping rates at the 5.25-5.50% range. Currently, Fed Fund Futures (FFF) imply a probability of 99% for such a scenario to materialise, rendering the interest rate decision largely as an open and shut case. Hence, we may see the market attention turning to the accompanying statement, the new dot plot and Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s press conference, half an hour later. FFF also imply that the market, currently, expects the bank to start cutting rates in June and deliver 3 rate cuts in total. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Fed interest rate decision to rock the markets\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/irX143ILWlQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Should we break down the three prementioned remaining elements, we note that should the accompanying statement and Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s press conference, be characterised by a hawkish tone, contradicting market expectations, we may see the USD getting some support, while should the bank allow for some innuendos that rate cuts are nearing, we may see USD weakening. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, should the new dot plot reaffirm the market\u2019s expectations for a total of three rate cuts in the year, we may see USD price weakening, while should the dot plot imply fewer rate cuts, possibly two, we may see the USD getting asymmetric support. Yet the release may have ripple effects beyond the FX market also on gold\u2019s price and US stock markets. Any unexpected hawkishness may weigh on US stock markets as well as gold\u2019s price and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market, we note the rise of USD\/JPY as the pair broke the 150.85 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support and is currently aiming for the more than thirty-year high of 152.00 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding the pair remains intact. We also note that the RSI indicator remains far higher than the reading of 70, which highlights the bullish sentiment of the market for the pair, yet at the same time may imply that the pair is at overbought levels and may be ripe for a correction lower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also receive similar signals by the fact that the price action is flirting with the upper Bollinger band. Hence alongside our bullish outlook, we also issue a warning for a possible correction lower of the pair that may shift the upward trendline to the right. Should the bulls maintain control as expected, we may see the pair breaking the 152.00 (R1) resistance line and set the next possible target for the bulls at the 153.80 (R2) resistance level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bears say enough is enough and take over, we may see the pair breaking the prementioned upward trendline clearly, signaling an interruption of the upward movement, breaking the 150.85 (S1) support line and taking aim of the 149.55 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasdaq on the other hand, seems to have stabilized its price-action in the corridor set by the 14685 (R1) and the 17120 (S1) levels. Given also that the RSI indicator remains near the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market we tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to be maintained. For a bullish outlook we would require the index to break the 17685 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 18300 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see the index breaking the 17120 (S1) support line aiming for the 16570 (S2) support base.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session we note the release of Germany\u2019s PPI rates for February, and we highlight UK\u2019s CPI and PPI rates for the same month, while on the monetary front, we note CNB\u2019s interest rate decision while ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks. In the American session, we get EIA\u2019s weekly Crude oil inventories figure, Eurozone\u2019s preliminary Consumer confidence for March and later on New Zealand\u2019s GDP rate for Q4 and on the monetary front, besides the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision we also note the release from Canada\u2019s BoC March meeting minutes. On Thursday\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s trade data for February and we highlight Australia\u2019s employment data for February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-96.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD technical chart highlighting Fed interest rate decisions and USD\/JPY trends.\" class=\"wp-image-78329\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 150.85 (S1), 149.55 (S2), 148.05 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 152.00 (R1), 153.80 (R2), 155.50 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-100-cash-daily-chart\"><strong>US 100 Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-97.png\" alt=\"EU index chart displaying price trends and line graph, alongside Fed interest rate decision and US 100 Cash information.\" class=\"wp-image-78330\" title=\"us-one-hundred-daily-chart \"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 17120 (S1), 16570 (S2), 15740 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 17685 (R1), 18300 (R2), 19000 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2001\" height=\"488\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-98.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78331\" title=\"benchmark-20-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1003\" height=\"556\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-101.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78334\" title=\"table-20-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1511\" height=\"1162\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-99.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78332\" title=\"morning-releases-20-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1244\" height=\"809\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-100.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78333\" title=\"morning-releases-20-03-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The market focus now turns to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision in the late American session today. The bank is<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fed interest rate decision to rock global markets today<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed interest rate decision, dot plot and Powell\u2019s comments may move USD, gold, stocks and USD\/JPY as markets gauge timing of rate cuts.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78328\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Fed interest rate decision, dot plot and Powell\u2019s comments may move USD, gold, stocks and USD\/JPY as markets gauge timing of rate cuts.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/ru\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-03-20T08:50:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T13:06:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-03-20T08:50:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T13:06:03+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":811,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/\",\"name\":\"Fed interest rate decision to rock global markets today\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-03-20T08:50:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T13:06:03+00:00\",\"description\":\"Fed interest rate decision, dot plot and Powell\u2019s comments may move USD, gold, stocks and USD\\\/JPY as markets gauge timing of rate cuts.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/feds-interest-rate-decision-to-rock-the-markets\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Fed\u2019s interest rate decision to rock the markets\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/ru\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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