{"id":130098,"date":"2026-04-28T13:25:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T10:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=130098"},"modified":"2026-04-28T13:26:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T10:26:20","slug":"markets-seem-to-hesitate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/th\/markets-seem-to-hesitate\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets seem to hesitate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Markets seem to hesitate at the start of the week, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/markets\/forex\/\">FX<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/markets\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/markets\/forex\/\">pairs trading<\/a> in narrow ranges and risk appetite remaining fragile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With limited top-tier US data releases today, attention shifts to geopolitical developments and upcoming macro events, including Australia\u2019s March CPI figures, which could influence expectations around the RBA\u2019s next policy move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-australia-s-march-cpi-rates-in-focus\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Australia\u2019s March CPI rates in focus<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market the USD remained relatively stable against its counterparts. Given the low number of high-impact financial releases from the US we expect fundamentals to lead the markets. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we highlight the release of Australia\u2019s CPI rates for March and Q1. The rates are allready above RBA\u2019s targets and should they accelerate as expected or even more, we may see the Aussie getting some support as RBA may harden its hawkish stance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-iranian-impasse-maintained\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>US-Iranian impasse maintained<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The impasse in the US-Iranian negotiations is maintained and no solution seems to be on the horizon. US President Trump seems to be unsatisfied by the Iranian plan which aimed to end the war. Should we see the market worries for the US-Iranian conflict be enhanced, we may see oil prices rising further. Also, we note the release of the US oil inventory data today and tomorrow and a possible wider drawdown could support oil prices as it would imply a further tightening of the US oil market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-stock-markets-hesitate\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>US stock markets hesitate<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>US stock market indexes tended to stabilise yesterday with mixed signals emerging. Should we see the market\u2019s confidence be boosted, we may see the market participants being more risk-oriented and thus providing support for US equities. Today\u2019s headlines include the release of OpenAI by Microsoft, which enables the company to pursue deals with other Cloud data providers like Amazon. Also, Google is reported to have signed a classified AI deal with the Pentagon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-continues-to-drift-lower\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Gold continues to drift lower<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold\u2019s price continued to drift lower in today\u2019s Asian session, as the USD tended to gain some ground. We currently see the case for the negative correlation of the two trading instruments being in effect. Gold traders maybe also positioning for a possibly hawkish Fed tomorrow, which also weighs on gold\u2019s price.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-today\"><strong>Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In an easy going Tuesday, we note the release of Sweden\u2019s March trade data, the US Richmond Fed Composite Index for April and the weekly API crude oil inventories figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out\"><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-100\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>US 100<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US 100<\/strong> bulls seem to be hesitating as the index\u2019s price action is nearing the 27500 (R1) resistance line. We maintain our bullish outlook for the index and intend to keep it as long as the upward trendline guiding it since the end of March remains intact. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet we note that the index\u2019s movement in today\u2019s Asian session is putting the upward trendline to the test. \u00a0Please note that the RSI indicator, is above the reading of 70, which highlights the strong bullish market sentiment for the index, yet at the same time also suggests that the index\u2019s price action is at overbought levels and the index is ripe for a correction lower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bulls maintain control over the index\u2019s direction we may see reaching new All Time Highs, possibly breaking the 27500 (R1) resistance hurdle. Should the bears take over, we may see the index\u2019s direction breaking the initially the prementioned upward trendline and continue lower to break also the 26250 (S1) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-xau-usd\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>XAU\/USD<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>XAU\/USD<\/strong> continued to edge lower in today\u2019s Asian session, aiming for the 4550 (S1) support line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The RSI indicator dropped below the reading of 50, implying the emergence of a bearish market sentiment for the precious metal\u2019s price, yet the Bollinger bands continue to narrow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the adoption of a clearcut bearish outlook we would require gold\u2019s price to break the 4550 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 4250 (S2) support level. For a bullish outlook, which seems remote currently, gold\u2019s price has to reach if not breach the 4995 (R1) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"4361\" height=\"2717\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/calendar-news-forex-economic-events-04282026.png\" alt=\"A table of economic releases for Tuesday. Includes time, region, indicator, period, survey, actual, prior, impact, currency, and comments. Key items are Sweden's March trade balance and US API crude oil inventories. Highlighted in red are major market-moving events.\" class=\"wp-image-130100\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"829\" height=\"202\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/benchmark-04282026-currency-rates.png\" alt=\"Bar chart titled &quot;Benchmark Currency Rates - Daily Gainers &amp; Losers.&quot; USD\/CHF gains 0.24%; USD\/CAD loses 0.23%. Mixed performances shown in colored bars.\" class=\"wp-image-130099\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-100-cash-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>US 100 Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/us-100-cash-daily-charts-analysis-currency-rates-04282026.png\" alt=\"Stock chart showing a bullish trend in US100. Candlestick patterns rise sharply, crossing Bollinger Bands. Key levels marked: R1 at 27,500, S1 at 26,250. RSI below reflects strength.\" class=\"wp-image-130101\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 26250 (S1), 25375 (S2), 23965 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 27500 (R1), 28750 (R2), 30000 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-xau-usd-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>XAU\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/xau-usd-daily-04282026-charts-currency.png\" alt=\"Line chart showing fluctuating XAU\/USD prices with Bollinger Bands. Key levels marked: resistances at 6000, 5420, 4995, supports at 4550, 4250, 3890.\" class=\"wp-image-130102\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 4550 (S1), 4250 (S2), 3890 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 4995 (R1), 5420 (R2), 6000 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-130098","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Markets seem to hesitate as Australia CPI comes into 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