{"id":135375,"date":"2026-07-23T12:34:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:34:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=135375"},"modified":"2026-07-23T12:40:01","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:40:01","slug":"ecb-expected-to-remain-on-hold-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/th\/ecb-expected-to-remain-on-hold-today\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB expected to remain on hold today"},"content":{"rendered":"

ECB expected to remain on hold, but may sound hawkish<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The ECB is about to release its interest rate decision and is widely expected to remain on hold. EUR OIS imply a possibility of 82% for such a scenario to materialise yet also implies that the market prices in a rate hike in September. Hence, should the bank signal hawkish tendencies leading to a rate hike verifying market expectations we may see the EUR getting some support, while a failure of the bank to sound hawkish may disappoint traders, forcing the market to reposition itself, selling the common currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US stock markets edge lower<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Major US equity market indexes edged lower yesterday. Earnings reports tended to be somewhat worrisome, with Google\u2019s Alphabet signalling increased capital spending intensifying market worries for its negative cashflows, while IBM was in the reds both on an EPS and revenue level . Intel reports today and positive figures with a robust forward guidance could support its share, with market\u2019s focus being on the AI sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices rise for a third day<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices continued to rise, as market worries\u00a0 for the Middle East and international oil supply routes continued to intensify. The risk of oil supply disruption now is being faced both at the Straits of Hormuz and the Red Sea\u2019s Bab el-Mandeb simultaneously. Should we see market worries intensifying further we may see oil prices getting further support and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold edges higher yet the bulls remain unconvincing<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Gold\u2019s price edged higher yesterday, yet corrected lower during today\u2019s Asian session weakening the case of the bulls. Gold\u2019s fundamentals continue to include tensions in the Middle East and the possibility that the conflict may enhance inflationary pressures in the US economy, a scenario that could weigh on gold\u2019s price. The highlight is expected to be the Fed\u2019s meeting next week.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get France\u2019s Business climate, the UK\u2019s CBI industrial orders and Canadas\u2019 business barometer, all for July, on a monetary level we note the release from Turkey of CBT\u2019s interest rate decision and\u00a0 later on we get the weekly US initial jobless claims figure, Canada\u2019s retail sales for May and Euro Zone\u2019s preliminary Consumer Confidence of July. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for July and Japan\u2019s June CPI rates.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

EUR\/USD<\/u><\/strong>\u2019s price action remains confined within the boundaries set by the 1.1470 (R1) resistance line and the 1.1350 (S1) support level. We maintain a bias for the sideways motion to continue on a technical level, given also that the RSI indicator tends to imply a rather indecisive market, yet note that he on a fundamental level ECB\u2019s interest rate decision could alter the pairs\u2019 direction. Should the bulls be in charge, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.1470 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.1575 (R2) base. Should the bears take over, we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.1350 (S1) line and start aiming for the 1.1210 (S2) level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WTI<\/u><\/strong>\u2019s price continued to rise and is currently teasing the 88.60 (R1) resistance line. We intend to maintain yesterday\u2019s bullish outlook for the commodity\u2019s price as long as the upward trendline guiding it remains intact. The rise of the RSI indicator implies an intensification of the bullish market sentiment, supporting our outlook. Yet the commodity\u2019s price action is flirting with the upper Bollinger band, which may slow down oil bulls or even cause a correction lower. Should the bulls maintain control, WTI may break the 88.60 (R1) line and start aiming for the 93.30 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, WTI may break the prementioned upward trendline, the 82.00 (S1) line, and continue lower aiming for the 76.60 (S2) level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 1.1350 (S1), 1.1210 (S2), 1.1065 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 1.1470 (R1), 1.1575 (R2), 1.1685 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 82.00 (S1), 76.60 (S2), 71.85 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 88.60 (R1), 93.30 (R2), 98.50 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      ECB expected to remain on hold, but may sound hawkish The ECB is about to release its interest rate decision<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-135375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nECB expected to remain on hold today<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ECB expected to remain on hold, but may sound hawkish, US stock markets edge lower, Oil prices rise for a third day, Gold edges higher yet the bulls remain unconvincing\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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