{"id":88537,"date":"2024-07-22T11:14:46","date_gmt":"2024-07-22T08:14:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=88537"},"modified":"2024-07-31T16:57:43","modified_gmt":"2024-07-31T13:57:43","slug":"bidens-out-kamala-to-lead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/th\/bidens-out-kamala-to-lead\/","title":{"rendered":"Biden\u2019s out, Kamala to lead?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In a rather quiet Monday, we expect fundamentals to lead the way for the markets given the lack of high-impact financial releases. It should be noted that despite opening with a negative gap the USD seems to be regaining the lost ground and maintaining an upward movement against its counterparts. It should be noted that over the weekend, US President Joe Biden abandoned his re-election bid and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Donors for the Democratic party seem to be stepping up yet the past poor readings in the polls for Kamala Harris raise doubts for her chances to win Trump. Another interesting issue is who she will be choosing for Vice President on the ticket. Market-wise, the issue may enhance the market\u2019s optimism and thus provide some support for riskier assets. Also, the chaos caused by Microsoft\u2019s outage on Friday seems to be over, yet the incident highlighted the fragility of the IT system on a global scale. The outage was caused by a flawed update of Crowdstrike, a major software security provider. A small file, which could be a single web page image, practically threw the IT system in disarray,&nbsp; crippling banks, airports, stock markets and other businesses around the world.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Biden drops out\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qIL0e5akbiw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY edged higher on Friday testing the 157.40 (R1) resistance line, yet seems to hit a ceiling and corrected lower yesterday. Fridays\u2019 movement practically created a lower peak allowing us to rest a downward trendline on it, showing also the limitations of the downward movement. We intend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as long as the downward trendline remains intact. We also note that the RSI indicator remains between the reading of 50 and 30 implying a bearish predisposition on behalf of the market. Should the selling interest be maintained we may see the pair aiming for the 154.60 (S2) resistance level. For a bullish outlook, we would require the pair to break initially the prementioned downward trendline, in a first signal that the downward motion has been interrupted continue to break the 157.40 (R1) resistance line and taking aim of the 160.35 (R2) resistance level.&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against the EUR the USD remained relatively unchanged during today\u2019s Asian session, just below the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line. We note that Friday\u2019s movement highlighted the interruption of EUR\/USD\u2019s upward movement, noting the possibility of a bearish outlook, yet the RSI indicator remains above the reading of 50, which tends to imply the presence of a bullish residue among market participants. Should the bearish sentiment be maintained we may see the pair placing some distance between its price-action and the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.0740 (S1) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line, paving the way for the 1.1010 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>No major financial releases are expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>As for the rest of the week<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get the Eurozone\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence for July and Turkey\u2019s CBT interest rate decision. On Wednesday we get the preliminary PMI figures of Australia, Japan, France, Germany, the Eurozone as a whole, the UK and the US for July and Germany\u2019s GfK Consumer confidence for August and on the monetary front we note the release from Canada BoC\u2019s interest rate decision. On Thursday we get&nbsp; Germany\u2019s Ifo indicators and the UK\u2019s CBI trends for industrial orders, both being for July, UK\u2019s CBI Business Optimism for Q3 and from the US we get June\u2019s durable goods orders, the weekly initial jobless claims figure and we highlight the release of the GDP advance rate for Q2. On Friday, we get from Japan Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates for July, and from the US the consumption rate and Core PCE price index, both being for June as well as the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-92.png\" alt=\"support at one point zero seven four and resistance at one point zero eight nine, direction sideways      \" class=\"wp-image-88538\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0740 (S1), 1.0615 (S2), 1.0445 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.0890 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1140 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-93.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty four point six and resistance at one hundred and fifty seven point four, direction downwards  \" class=\"wp-image-88539\" style=\"width:783px;height:363px\" width=\"783\" height=\"363\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 154.60 (S1), 151.00 (S2), 146.50 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 157.40 (R1), 160.35 (R2), 163.00 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"487\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-94.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-88540\" title=\"benchmark-22-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1103\" height=\"652\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-96.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-88542\" title=\"table-22-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"673\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-95.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-88541\" title=\"morning-releases-22-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a rather quiet Monday, we expect fundamentals to lead the way for the markets given the lack of high-impact<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88537","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Biden\u2019s out, Kamala to lead?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD regains ground despite a quiet Monday. 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