{"id":97130,"date":"2025-01-10T10:56:06","date_gmt":"2025-01-10T08:56:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=97130"},"modified":"2025-01-10T11:35:44","modified_gmt":"2025-01-10T09:35:44","slug":"us-december-employment-report-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/th\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"US December employment report in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD continued to gain against its counterparts yesterday, in a rather quiet Thursday and markets are increasingly focusing on the release of December\u2019s US employment report. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) figure is expected to drop to 160k if compared to November\u2019s 227k, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2% and the average earnings growth rate also to remain unchanged at 4.0% yy. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, we may see the USD slipping as the drop of the NFP figure, may disappoint traders. Overall though we do not see the forecasted picture showing a loosening US employment market, thus may allow the Fed to maintain its hesitations in cutting rates further extensively. Yet the actual rates and figures tend to differ from the forecasts, hence should the report imply a tighter than expected US employment market we may see the USD getting some support. On the other hand, a possibly looser employment market than expected could weigh on the USD. The release may have ripple effects beyond the FX market and signals of a possibly tighter US employment market could weigh on US equities and gold\u2019s price.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US Employment data due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/AGFb4t339XI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY remained in a tight rangebound motion just below the 158.45 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain for the time being our bias for the sideways motion to continue between the 158.45 (R1) resistance line and the 154.65 (S1) support level. Yet the continues testing of the R1 and the fact that the RSI indicator has neared the reading of 70, tend to highlight the bullish predisposition of the market participants for the pair. Yet for a bullish outlook we would require USD\/JPY to break the 158.45 (R1) resistance line clearly and start aiming for the 161.90 (R2) resistance level. On the flip side should the bears take over, we may see the pair reversing course, breaking the 154.65 (S1) support line, paving the way for the 151.35 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time as the US employment report for December we also get Canada\u2019s employment data for the same month. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 6.9% if compared to November\u2019s 6.8% and the employment change figure is expected to drop to 25.0k if compared to November\u2019s 50.5k. Overall, the data tend to imply a loosening Canadian employment market which in turn could weigh on the Loonie as such data may enhance the dovishness of BoC. On a deeper fundamental level, we note the rise of oil prices and should it be extended, we may see the CAD getting some support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD remained in a sideways motion between the 1.4465 (R1) resistance line and the 1.4280 (S1) support line, since the 18<sup>th<\/sup> of December. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue as long as the pair\u2019s price action respects the prementioned levels. Yet the 20 moving average which is also the median of the Bollinger bands and supports the upward movement, continues to point upwards implying that the upward motion of the pair which begun on the 25<sup>th<\/sup> of September is still not over. Furthermore, the RSI indicator is rising implying the build up of a bullish sentiment among market participants for the pair. For the adoption of a bullish outlook once again, we would require the pair to break the 1.4465 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.4665 (R2) resistance barrier. Should the bears take over, a scenario we currently view as remote, we may see USD\/CAD breaking the 1.4280 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.4110 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In today\u2019s European trading session, we note Sweden\u2019s GDP rate for November and Norway\u2019s CPI rate for December. In the American session we highlight the event of the week, which is the US Employment data for December, followed by Canada\u2019s building permits rate for November and Employment data for December and ending of the day is the University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment figure for January. We would like to note that no major financial releases are expected in Monday\u2019s Asian session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY&nbsp; Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-22.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty four point sixty five and resistance at one hundred fifty eight point forty five, direction sideways   \" class=\"wp-image-97131\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 154.65 (S1), 151.35 (S2), 149.40 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 158.45 (R1), 161.90 (R2), 164.50 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-23.png\" alt=\"support at one point four two eight and resistance at one point four four six five, direction sideways   \" class=\"wp-image-97132\" title=\"usd-cad-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.4280 (S1), 1.4110 (S2), 1.3925 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.4465 (R1), 1.4665 (R2), 1.4850 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1997\" height=\"492\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-24.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97133\" title=\"benchmark-10-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1229\" height=\"1130\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97134\" title=\"morning-releases-10-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1055\" height=\"577\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-26.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97135\" title=\"table-10-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:reseach_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD continued to gain against its counterparts yesterday, in a rather quiet Thursday and markets are increasingly focusing on<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-97130","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97130\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"th_TH\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US December employment report in focus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/th\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-01-10T08:56:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-01-10T09:35:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"US December employment report in focus\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-01-10T08:56:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-10T09:35:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":789,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"th\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/us-december-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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