{"id":115021,"date":"2025-06-18T15:34:52","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T12:34:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=115021"},"modified":"2025-06-18T15:35:09","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T12:35:09","slug":"equities-report-fed-interest-rate-decision-due-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/vi\/equities-report-fed-interest-rate-decision-due-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report:\u00a0Fed interest rate decision due today"},"content":{"rendered":"

The upward movement of US equities seems to have been halted for now. In today\u2019s report we are to have another look at the upcoming Fed decision and the recent updates on the US trade talks. From a technical point of view, we are to provide an analysis of S&P 500\u2019s daily chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed decision day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Fed\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur during today\u2019s American session. The majority of market participants are currently anticipating the bank to remain on hold, with FFF currently implying a 98.8% probability for such a possibility to occur. Therefore, our attention turns to the bank’s accompanying statement and Fed Chair Powell’s press conference which is set to occur following the banks decision. In our view, given the heightened geopolitical risks and in particular the recent war between Israel and Iran which risks disrupting the global oil supply and in addition to the ongoing trade ambitions of the US Government, the uncertainty surrounding the global economy may have risen. In turn, the potential upside risks to the global economy and that of the US, may increase pressure on the Fed to opt to refrain from committing to rate cuts in the near future. In turn this could weigh on the US Equities markets, as the relatively tight financial conditions may remain place. However, should the bank’s accompanying statement imply that the bank may cut rates in the near future, it may aid the US Equities markets. In conclusion, should the bank\u2019s accompanying statement and Fed Chair Powell\u2019s be perceived as hawkish in nature, it could weigh on the US Equities markets and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trade deals are still being discussed between the US and its partners<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

According to a report by Reuters, President Trump stated that Japan was being \u201ctough\u201d in trade talks and that the EU had yet to offer a deal which was considered to be fair and that the EU would need to offer \u201ca good deal\u201d or face higher tariffs. Moreover per POLITICO EU Chief Spokesperson Pinho stated that \u201cOur clear preference is a negotiated, balanced, and mutually beneficial outcome. However, if a satisfactory agreement cannot be reached, all instruments and options will remain on the table\u201d which may tend to imply that negotiations are relatively tough and thus an agreement by the July 9th deadline. On the other hand, the US and the UK have signed an agreement on Monday which would lower some tariffs on imports from the UK whilst the two continue their negotiations towards a formal trade deal. Furthermore, per the NYP US Treasury Secretary Scot Bessent will be meeting with his Chinese counterparts in approximately three weeks to discuss more on trade. Nonetheless, given the erratic behaviour by the US in regards to trade deals, should an apparent lack of progress emerge on reaching trade agreements with major trading partners such as the EU and China it could weigh on the US Equities market. Therefore, the possible meeting between US Treasury Scott Bessent and his counterparts may be closely monitored, as a failure to progress forward may lead to a resurgence of market worries about the state of the global economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US500 Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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