{"id":97250,"date":"2025-01-16T11:10:37","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T09:10:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=97250"},"modified":"2025-01-16T13:54:58","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T11:54:58","slug":"decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/vi\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"December\u2019s US retail sales to move the markets\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The release of the US CPI rates for December yesterday displayed a resilience of inflationary pressures on a consumer level in the US economy for the past month. It\u2019s characteristic that both the core and headline rates accelerated which if combined with the strong employment data for the same month may add pressure on the Fed to remain on hold for a longer period. For the time being we note that the market\u2019s expectations are for the bank to proceed with its next rate cut in the June meeting, as per Fend Fund Futures. Today we note the release of the US retail sales growth rate for December and the headline rate is expected to slow down a bit, which could be perceived as awkward, given the holiday season and could weigh on the USD as it may perceived as a signal of an easing demand in the US economy should the expectations be realised. Furthermore, we also note the release of the Philly Fed Business index for January which is expected remain in the negatives yet improve and thus provide some support for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US retail sales rate due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/klHR9gcmkvo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY dropped yesterday, aiming at some point during todays\u2019 Asian session for the 154.65 (S1) support line yet corrected higher later on. We see the case for some bearish tendencies of the pair yet for the time being we still remain unconvinced for a bearish outlook maintaining our bias for the sideways motion to be continued. The RSI indicator has reached the reading of 50, implying a relative indecisiveness of market participants for the pair\u2019s direction. Also the Bollinger bands continued to converge reflecting the lower volatility of the pair\u2019s price action, and its characteristic that the pair\u2019s price action corrected higher after hitting the lower Bollinger band. For a bearish outlook we would require the pair to break the 154.65 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 151.35 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 158.45 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 161.90 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we highlight the release of China\u2019s GDP rate for Q4, as well as December\u2019s Urban investment, industrial output and retail sales growth rates as key indicators for the health of the Chinese economy. The GDP rate is expected to accelerate and reach 5%yoy, in a signal that the Chinese government despite the struggling of Chinese factories to increase economic activity, has reached its growth goal and provide more confidence in the markets for China\u2019s economic outlook. Also, the retail sales growth rate is expected to accelerate, implying a stronger demand side in the Chinese economy which in turn may support CNY. Yet the release is expected to also catch the attention of Aussie traders given the close Sino-Australian economic ties. A possible acceleration of the industrial output growth rate could provide some support for the AUD as it could imply more exports of Australian raw materials to China.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD remained close to the 0.6170 (S1) support line in the past 24 hours. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as long as the downward trendline incepted since the 30<sup>th<\/sup> of September, remains intact. Yet, we note that the RSI indicator remains below the reading of 50 implying the presence of a bearish predisposition of the market for the pair. Should the bears actually maintain control over the pair\u2019s direction, we may see AUD\/USD breaking the 0.6170 (S1) support line, opening the gates for the 0.5980 (S2) support level. For a bullish outlook we would require the pair to reverse direction by breaking initially the prementioned downward trendline, in a first signal that the downward motion has been interrupted and continue to break the 0.6270 (R1) resistance line, thus paving the way for the 0.6350 (R2) resistance hurdle.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of UK\u2019s GDP rate and manufacturing output rate for November, Germany\u2019s HICP rate for December and later on Canada\u2019s House Starts for December, the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, and we note the release of ECB last meeting minutes and the speech of BoC\u2019s Deputy Governor Gravelle. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the planned interview of ECB\u2019s Centeno.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-51.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty four point sixty five and resistance at one hundred and fifty eight point forty five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-97251\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 154.65 (S1), 151.35 (S2), 149.40 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 158.45 (R1), 161.90 (R2), 164.50 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-52.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six one seven and resistance at zero point six two seven, direction downwards    \" class=\"wp-image-97252\" title=\"aud-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6170 (S1), 0.5980 (S2), 0.5700 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6270 (R1), 0.6350 (R2), 0.6440 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"483\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-53.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97253\" title=\"benchmark-16-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1729\" height=\"845\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-54.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97254\" title=\"morning-releases-16-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"613\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-55.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97255\" title=\"morning-release-16-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1070\" height=\"572\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-56.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97256\" title=\"table-16-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:reseach_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The release of the US CPI rates for December yesterday displayed a resilience of inflationary pressures on a consumer level<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-97250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97250\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"December\u2019s US retail sales to move the markets\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/vi\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-01-16T09:10:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-01-16T11:54:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"December\u2019s US retail sales to move the markets\u00a0\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-01-16T09:10:37+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-16T11:54:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":826,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/vi\\\/decembers-us-retail-sales-to-move-the-markets\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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