{"id":99231,"date":"2025-01-29T16:07:52","date_gmt":"2025-01-29T14:07:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=99231"},"modified":"2025-01-29T16:08:18","modified_gmt":"2025-01-29T14:08:18","slug":"equities-report-deepseek-the-new-ai-company-on-the-block","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-cn.com\/vi\/equities-report-deepseek-the-new-ai-company-on-the-block\/","title":{"rendered":"DeepSeek the new AI company on the block"},"content":{"rendered":"

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100, have sharply declined during Monday\u2019s trading session. We note that there are significant financial releases stemming from the US this week, in addition to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision which is set to occur tomorrow. In this report, we will focus on the recent developments surrounding DeepSeek in addition to discussing the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow and for a rounder view we provide a technical analysis of the S&P 500\u2019s daily chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DeepSeek, the disruptor of the AI world<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

DeepSeek is a Chinese company that has dominated the airwaves the past few days and has been dubbed as the ChatGPT killer .The company has skyrocketed in popularity after the company launched its free AI assistant last week. The AI model named R1 created by DeepSeek is allegedly on par with one of ChatGPT\u2019s older model and has flung the US Equities markets into a frenzy, as the R1 model was allegedly created for under 6 million dollars, whereas companies such as OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google are currently spending billions in comparison. Needless to say, the announcement of DeepSeek\u2019s AI assistant has caused widespread concern over the US tech sector and their perceived AI dominance, which in turns appears to have weighed specifically on US tech stocks such as NVIDIA which lost roughly $600 billion in market capitalization. NVIDIA\u2019s sell-off during Monday\u2019s trading session has been described as the largest intraday decline in history and could re-ignite the debate over whether or not we are in an AI bubble. In turn, companies such as Microsoft , Meta and Intel which are set to release their earnings report this week, may face heightened scrutiny from investors for their AI expenditure and profit margins. Hence, in our view we would not be surprised to see tech companies shy away from announcing heavy capital expenditure sums for AI developments in their earnings calls and potentially focusing on frameworks to increase AI profitability margins. In conclusion, the increased competition in the US tech sector may be beneficial in the long run, yet could weigh on the overall tech sector in the short-medium run. We should note, that we remain slightly skeptical over the costs incurred by DeepSeek to develop their model.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed decision tomorrow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Fed\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur tomorrow. The majority of market participants, are currently anticipating the bank to remain on hold in their meeting tomorrow, with Fed Fund Futures currently implying a 99.5% probability for such a scenario to materialize. The market also seems to expect the bank to proceed with a rate cut in the June meeting with a second rate cut potentially occurring in October. Nonetheless, with the market\u2019s having almost fully priced in a \u2018hold\u2019 by the bank, our attention turns to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement, in addition to Fed Chair Powell\u2019s presser following the decision. Should Powell\u2019s press conference and accompanying statement be interpreted as predominantly hawkish in nature, i.e implying a prolonged period of time in which the bank could remain on hold, we may see the event weighing on US stock markets. On the other hand, should the accompanying statement and Powell\u2019s press conference be perceived as dovish in nature, it could imply a faster easing of financial conditions in the US economy which in turn may aid the US stock markets<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US500Cash Daily Chart<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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