美国就业报告成为焦点

在7月份美国就业报告发布以前，昨天美元兑其他货币小幅下跌. 我们注意到市场预期可能已经增强，特别是继同月份ADP数据发布后的非农就业人数数据，显示私营就业人数上升降温程度不及预期. 今天我们强调7月份美国就业报告的发布，预计非农就业人数数据小幅下降，这意味着美国经济实际创造就业岗位的能力持续减弱，而预计失业率将保持在3.6%不变, 暗示美国就业市场仍然紧张.

USD/JPY seems to maintain a sideways motion between the 143.35 (R1) resistance line and the 141.90 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue currently, given also that the RSI indicator is running along the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market. On the other hand, we have to note that the release of the US employment report for July and/or the release of BoJ’s summary of opinions for the July meeting on Monday could alter the pair’s direction. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 143.35 (R1) line and aim for the 145.10 (R2) resistance base. Should bears take over we may see USD/JPY breaking the 141.90 (S1) line and continue lower to test the 140.80 (S2) support hurdle.

回到外汇市场和美国边境以北，在美国就业数据发布的同时.我们还将获得7月份加拿大就业数据. 预计失业率将升至5.5%,

而就业变动数据预计将下降一半以上达到2.11万. 如果实际比率和数据分别达到预期, 我们则可能会看到加元将走弱，因为这将意味着加拿大就业市场的紧张状况似乎在破裂. 如此比率和数据可能会增强加拿大央行继续按兵不动的倾向.

今日其他亮点:

In today’s European session, we note the release of Germany’s industrial orders for June, the Eurozone’s and the UK’s construction PMI figures for July and the Eurozone’s retail sales for June, while on the commodities front OPEC is to have a meeting and could shake oil prices, while on a monetary level, we note that BoE Chief Economist Hugh Pill is scheduled to speak. Also, note that JPY traders may be interested in the release of BoJ’s summary of opinions for its July meeting.